A Language to Foster Innovation

A Language to Foster Innovation

What to think of accelerating creative destruction, how a missing shared language for innovation hinders a discussion about that, and why sense-making frameworks help us remedy that. (Talk at SXSW, March 2019)

C73e2a17bd00aa722f84d5e019556dfc?s=128

Wolfgang Wopperer-Beholz

March 08, 2019
Tweet

Transcript

  1. 6.

    Average company lifespan on S&P 500 Index (in years) Year

    (each data point represents a rolling 7 year average of average lifespan) DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard & Poor’s Projec�ons based on current data Average company lifespan on S&P 500 Index (in years) Year (each data point represents a rolling 7 year average of average lifespan) DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard & Poor’s Projec�ons based on current data Average company lifespan on S&P 500 Index (in years) Year (each data point represents a rolling 7 year average of average lifespan) DATA: INNOSIGHT/Richard N. Foster/Standard & Poor’s Projec�ons based on current data Innosight Executive Brie!ng Winter 2012
  2. 8.

    Data: Innosight analysis based on public S&P 500 data sources.

    See endnote on methodology. www.innosight.com Chart 1: Average Company Li fespan on S&P 500 Index Years, rolling 7-year average 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Innosight 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast
  3. 9.

    Data: Innosight analysis based on public S&P 500 data sources.

    See endnote on methodology. www.innosight.com Chart 1: Average Company Li fespan on S&P 500 Index Years, rolling 7-year average 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Innosight 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast
  4. 10.

    Data: Innosight analysis based on public S&P 500 data sources.

    See endnote on methodology. www.innosight.com Chart 1: Average Company Li fespan on S&P 500 Index Years, rolling 7-year average 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Innosight 2018 Corporate Longevity Forecast
  5. 11.

    Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source:

    1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  6. 12.

    Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source:

    1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  7. 13.

    !

  8. 14.

    Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source:

    1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  9. 15.

    Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source:

    1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Exhibit 3: Hypothetical Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  10. 16.

    Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source:

    1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Exhibit 3: Hypothetical Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source: Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  11. 17.

    Exhibit 2: Turnover in the S&P 500 Index, 1958-2016 Source:

    1958-1990: Jeremy Siegel, “Long-Term Returns on the Original S&P 500 Companies,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, No. 1, January/February 2006, 18-31; 1991-2016: FactSet, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Credit Suisse. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Number of Changes Turnover Trend line Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  12. 18.

    Exhibit 6: S&P 500 Turnover, 1990-2016 Source: Thomson Reuters; S&P

    Dow Jones Indices; Credit Suisse. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual Turnover S&P 500 Turnover Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance”
  13. 19.

    Exhibit 6: S&P 500 Turnover, 1990-2016 Source: Thomson Reuters; S&P

    Dow Jones Indices; Credit Suisse. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual Turnover S&P 500 Turnover Michael J. Mauboussin, Dan Callahan, Darius Majd: “Corporate Longevity. Index Turnover and Corporate Performance” Exhibit 6: S&P 500 Turnover and U.S. M&A Volume, 1990-2016 Source: Thomson Reuters; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Credit Suisse. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Annual Turnover Volume (Trillions of 2015 U.S Dollars) U.S. M&A Volume S&P 500 Turnover
  14. 21.

    Percentage of Exits 0 % 25 % 50 % 75

    % 100 % 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 VC exits via M&A via IPO M&A vs. IPOs Sources: Jay R. Ritter, University of Florida; National Venture Capital Association
  15. 27.

    Model 1 
 
 
 Model 2 
 
 /

    Model 1 Language 1 
 
 
 Model 2 Language 2 
 
 Model 1 Language 1 products
 businesses
 5- to 10-year business cycles
 Model 2 Language 2 
 
 Model 1 Language 1 products
 businesses
 5- to 10-year business cycles
 Model 2 Language 2 business models
 paradigms
 50- to 70-year long waves
  16. 30.

    Model 3 Language 3 
 
 
 Model 4 Language

    4 
 
 / Model 3 Language 3 Value for users
 Quality of design
 Focus on retention
 Model 4 Language 4 Value of customers
 Quality of forecasts
 Focus on conversion
  17. 33.

    Photo by JC Gellidon on Unsplash Photo by Olga Guryanova

    on Unsplash Photo by Roman Mager on Unsplash Photo by Blake Guidry on Unsplash Photo by Cassie Matias on Unsplash
  18. 34.
  19. 47.
  20. 52.
  21. 54.

    Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create

    successful products No shared language The Product Field
  22. 55.

    Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create

    successful products No shared language The Product Field
  23. 56.

    Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create

    successful products No shared language The Product Field Startups Enterprises Busines Model Canvas Trainings Website Sense- making framework Canvas Ignoring complexity Better Products Better world Wolfgang Mark Nick Increasing complexity Digitalations Method Develop- ment Facilitation Conferences Includes all stake- holders
  24. 57.

    Developers Executives Product Managers Designers Make the right decisions Create

    successful products No shared language The Product Field Startups Enterprises Busines Model Canvas Trainings Website Sense- making framework Canvas Ignoring complexity Better Products Better world Wolfgang Mark Nick Increasing complexity Digitalations Method Develop- ment Facilitation Conferences Includes all stake- holders
  25. 61.
  26. 62.
  27. 63.
  28. 64.
  29. 66.
  30. 67.
  31. 68.
  32. 69.
  33. 71.
  34. 73.
  35. 74.
  36. 75.
  37. 76.
  38. 79.

    A language to foster innovation: a meta-language, embodied in a

    sense-making framework for everyday use.
  39. 80.

    Use it with your team, with your stakeholders, on a

    regular basis, to think for yourself.
  40. 82.

    Book signing: 2 pm, SXSW Book Shop Product Thinking Meetup:

    3/12, 11 am https://productfield.com @productfield @kpfrahm @wowo101