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DevOps is Not War

Chris Short
October 23, 2019

DevOps is Not War

Over the past 500 years, there have been 16 cases of a rising power threatening to displace a ruling power. 75% of those cases resulted in war. Although your organizational transformation probably won’t lead to war, it could be contentious. History can help prevent conflict when driving change. This talk will analyze human tendencies, historical data, and provide real-world examples of how to avoid conflict during your DevOps journey.

DevOps needs to focus on more than Dev and Ops to be truly transformative for an organization. What about your security folks? What about your network team? We’ll introduce the work of Thucydides and the concept of Thucydides’s Trap, a political scientist’s take on how rising and established powers are destined for conflict. Transformations can often be contentious and sometimes rebellious. History can actually help us avoid failure in our transformations. The more the merrier along this journey!

Chris Short

October 23, 2019

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  6. Your Chances of Taking Fire During Day-to-Day Operations* ~0% *

    Research conducted by the Chris Short Academy of Statistics Gathering (He Made it Up) @ChrisShort devopsish.com
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  9. Getting Started History can help can prevent conflict when driving

    change. ➔ Thucydides Who is Thucydides? ➔ Graham Allison Who is Graham Allison? ➔ Thucydides Trap What is it? Why should we care? @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  10. Thucydides c. 460 – c. 400 BC Athenian historian and general History

    of the Peloponnesian War "Father of Scientific History" "Father of the school of political realism" Photo: Walter Maderbacher @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  11. Photo: U.S. Naval War College Graham Allison American political scientist

    Professor at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard US national security and defense policy analyst Defense Medal for Distinguished Public Service recipient @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  12. Thucydides Trap Allison coined "Thucydides Trap" "Refers to the natural,

    inevitable discombobulation that occurs when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling power." "This can happen in any sphere." Source: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  13. Portugal vs. Spain ☮ France vs. Hapsburgs Hapsburgs vs. Ottoman

    Empire Hapsburgs vs. Sweden Dutch Republic vs. England France vs. Great Britain United Kingdom vs. France France and United Kingdom vs. Russia France vs. Germany "Over the past 500 years, in sixteen cases a major rising power has threatened to displace a ruling power. In twelve of those, the result was war" China and Russia vs. Japan United Kingdom vs. United States ☮ United Kingdom (supported by France, Russia) vs. Germany (aka WWI) Soviet Union, France, and United Kingdom vs. Germany (aka WWII) United States vs. Japan (aka WWII) United States vs. Soviet Union (aka Cold War) ☮ United Kingdom and France vs. Germany ☮ @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  14. "The four cases that avoided this outcome did so only

    because of huge, painful adjustments in attitudes and actions on the part of challenger and challenged alike." Source: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  15. Bridging the Two Let's bridge the gap between Thucydides's Trap

    and DevOps or "Digital Transformation" ➔ Dev and Ops Closer than ever ➔ Fear What are we afraid of as technologists? ➔ UK vs. US (Early 20th Century) How did this transition end peacefully? @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  16. @ChrisShort devopsish.com

  17. @ChrisShort devopsish.com https://cshort.co/8floppy

  18. @ChrisShort devopsish.com

  19. If you want to read USSTRATCOM's Agile DevOps call out

    https://cshort.co/nukeops @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  20. Malarkey! Your organization has no excuse. "That won't work here."

    @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  21. Fear "It was the rise of Athens and the fear

    that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable." Source: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  22. Fear Causes Resistance "Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to

    hate. Hate leads to suffering." —Jedi Master Yoda @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  23. Fear It's the rise of something new (DevOps) and the

    fear it instills in people that makes conflict possible. @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  24. United Kingdom vs. United States Early 20th Century Peaceful transition

    between established world power and rising super power US economy outpaced UK economy "a war with America … has become something more than a possibility." Teddy Roosevelt expanded US Navy Monroe Doctrine led to UK having no allies in Western Hemisphere UK conceded global power to focus on European issues pre-WWI Source: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  25. @ChrisShort devopsish.com

  26. Bettering Our World DevOps isn't merely automation or tearing down

    silos. DevOps is about improving business outcome and work environments. ➔ DevOps: The War Crime Are we going about this wrong? ➔ What About Everyone Else Security, Networking, etc. ➔ DevOps Isn’t Just for IT Don't discredit those not writing code ➔ Change and Failing Fast @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  27. DevOps: War Crime? What happens to my job? Will I

    have to completely relearn everything I know? I’ve worked so hard to get here and now I have to pivot?!? "Should I just retire now?" @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  28. What About Networking? What happens when you need more hardware?

    Eek! Network Engineers are awesome at VLANs, subnets, NAT, VPNs, etc. Imagine if your network folks could automate and iterate as fast as you @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  29. What About Security? DevSecOps is a necessary term Will I

    have to completely relearn everything I know? I’ve worked so hard to get here and now I have to pivot?!? "Should I just retire now?" @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  30. DevOps Isn’t Just for IT Business processes matter The more

    allies the better C-Suite, Marketing, Legal, Sales, Finance, etc. can all help @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  31. Change and Failing Fast Different isn’t always bad "Throwing good

    money after bad" Safety 1 vs. Safety 2 — Check out Sidney Dekker's works Remember: Pulling the Andon Cord is Good @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  32. Conclusion They won't let me talk forever We know people

    can feel threatened by DevOps Finding Allies and creating successes together is key (UK & US in WWI) Early inclusion and concessions are keys to success Fail fast Be a learning organization @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  33. I must study politics and war that my [children] may

    have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy. John Adams, 2nd President of the United States @ChrisShort devopsish.com
  34. Thank You @ChrisShort devopsish.com https://cshort.co/devops-not-war