Known and unknown unknowns - AS 2026

Transcript

2. Known & unknown unknowns
3. Linda van de Vooren The slides and more will be shared at the end of the talk
4. How do you know?
5. Unknown Known The Rumsfeld Matrix Known Unknown Known knowns Known unknowns Unknown knowns Unknown unknowns
6. My (un)known unknowns Maths Code
7. Unknown Known Active and tacit knowledge Known Unknown Known knowns Known unknowns Unknown knowns Unknown unknowns
8. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge Also: Curse of expertise, Expert’s curse 1989
9. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge • False consensus effect Also: Consensus bias 1977
10. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge • False consensus effect • Dunning-Kruger effect 1999
11. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge • False consensus effect • Dunning-Kruger effect • Naive realism 1952
12. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge • False consensus effect • Dunning-Kruger effect • Naive realism • Zone of proximal development 1931-1934 Learner can do unaided Learner can do with guidance Learner cannot do
13. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge • False consensus effect • Dunning-Kruger effect • Naive realism • Zone of proximal development • Shoshin 13th century / 1970 (Zen Buddhism)
14. Where is the problem? • Curse of knowledge • False consensus effect • Dunning-Kruger effect • Naive realism • Zone of proximal development • Shoshin
15. Retaining knowledge • Spaced repetition • Practice tests • Low-stakes testing • Receiving and applying feedback • Spaced repetition • Active note taking • Teaching others
16. Recollecting knowledge Initial stage Input via - Visual - Acoustic - Semantic - Tactile Lost forever Short-Term memory Long-Term memory 15-30 sec Active repetition 5-9 items Unlimited* Retrieval from ShortTerm memory Retrieval from LongTerm memory Mostly sequential Associations
17. How to deal with unknowns Do • Identify • Explore • Be curious • Be suspicious Don’t • Assume • Panic • Ignore • Judge
18. Let’s literally get into it
19. Ready to experience it?
22. Thank you https://LindavandeVooren.nl/AutomationSTAR-2026/ I have stickers, please come find me if you want some
23. Questions? Email Linda.van.de.Vooren@Bartosz.NL Social @Sapphirelinda
25. Used images • Slide 2 ‘Hello’ behzad-ghaffarian5JcdQfzR_YA-unsplash • Slide 3 ‘?’ emily-morter-8xAA0f9yQnEunsplash • Slide 9 Dunning-Kruger By Phlsph7 - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.ph p?curid=124731078 • Slide 10 Naïve realism By Mcooperwhite Own work. Illustration is a reproduction of diagrams as seen in Robinson et al. (1995) and Ross & Ward (1996)., CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.ph p?curid=44928118 • Slide 15 ‘Knowledge’ gabriella-claremarino-GSLA0FVY9qI-unsplash • Slide 17 ‘Wood walkway’ todd-trapaniv2Jf_jpNamc-unsplash • Slide 17 ‘Hallway’ kamil-feczkoGhxWry42_zQ-unsplash • Slide 17 ‘Cave’ joshua-sortinolRA_WTczjgw-unsplash • Slide 18 ‘Mug’ katie-drazdauskaiteuTWKKYqt3qQ-unsplash • Black cat: Design by Linda van de Vooren • Slides background: Design from canva pro subscription • Icons used: standard powerpoint