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Podcast Market Deep Dive - BDMI - Jan 2020

Brendan Brits
January 16, 2020

Podcast Market Deep Dive - BDMI - Jan 2020

Overview of the current state of the podcast market, including key industry trends / themes for creators, advertisers, and investors. Outlines BDMI's top podcast theses going into 2020.

Presented by BDMI, a corporate venture capital fund making Seed through Series B investments in next gen media, consumer brands, enterprise technology, and fintech.

Please feel free to get in contact! [email protected]

Brendan Brits

January 16, 2020
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Transcript

  1. January 2020
    Podcast Market Deep Dive
    Brendan Brits

    View Slide

  2. 2 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Exploring the State of the Podcast Market
    Executive Summary
    Section I: Growth in the Podcast Market
    Section II: The Podcast Listener
    Section III: The Podcast Creator
    Section IV: The Podcast Advertiser
    Section V: Podcasts & the Capital Markets
    Section VI: Representative Companies Across
    the US Podcast Value Chain
    Table of Contents
    This report presents BDMI’s perspective on the current state of the podcast
    market and outlines key trends and themes to watch as the industry continues
    along a path of rapid growth and technological advancement.
    The report sets the stage with an overview of growing global engagement,
    demonstrating podcasting’s emergence in public consciousness and fervent
    loyalty among avid listeners. Analyses of the three main constituents of the
    podcast industry (listener, creator, advertiser) follow, detailing the status quo with
    observations on emerging trends, the role of technology & platforms, and best
    practices for each.
    The report concludes with an overview of capital markets activity related to
    podcasting and a representative list of companies innovating across the podcast
    value chain. Both exemplify the growing focus on the space by creatives,
    entrepreneurs, and strategic & financial investors.
    The Podcast
    Listener
    The Podcast
    Advertiser
    The Podcast
    Creator
    Technology &
    Platforms

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  3. 3 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Focused
    Investment
    Theses
    • Next Gen Media
    • Consumer Brands
    Select Fund-of-Funds Investments
    • Enterprise Tech
    • Fintech
    Presented by BDMI, Seed Through Series B Corporate Venture Capital Fund
    BDMI will continue to be active investors in the audio & podcasting markets
    Active Early
    Stage
    Investors
    • Series A-B (check size $1m-$5m), leading or following; Seed ($100k – $300k)
    • Covering North America, Europe, and Israel
    • Currently investing out of $150m Fund III
    Financial &
    Strategic
    • Financially-motivated, single-LP venture investor
    • Provide strategic value to both portfolio companies & parent company (global
    media, services, and education company Bertelsmann)
    Collaborative • Syndicate friendly, co-investing with many traditional and strategic VCs
    Team
    Select Investments
    Urs Cete
    Managing Partner
    Keith Titan
    Partner
    Sim Blaustein
    Partner
    Carmen Rivera
    Assistant
    Brendan Brits
    Associate
    Avinash Satish
    Finance Manager
    Rachel Lauren
    Analyst
    Audio-focused investments
    Sold to Oracle
    Q4 2019
    Sold to The Chernin Group
    Q4 2019

    View Slide

  4. 4 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    BDMI’s Top Podcast Theses
    1
    The podcast market will continue on an accelerated growth trajectory with listener growth and tech innovation
    US market size estimates upwardly revised to be $679m in 2019; first time visibility to $1B market in 2021
    51% of Americans have listened to a podcast – a meaningful milestone, with room to grow
    Technological innovation in advertising and non-advertising enablement will support investment in medium
    2
    Beginnings of internationalization in 2019 set stage for global podcast growth to be key theme of 2020
    Top publishers (e.g. Wondery*, HowStuffWorks, Spotify/Gimlet) are actively expanding libraries in multiple languages, including translation of popular
    English-language podcasts
    Traditional media companies around the world are starting to invest in the medium
    4
    The podcast ecosystem remains an attractive area for venture capital investment
    Landmark acquisitions in 2019 (particularly by Spotify) confirm buyer appetite – arms race only to grow with growth of overall market
    Spotify’s splashy entrance into the market and an increased focus from traditional media are mounting a challenge to Apple’s de-facto hegemony, creating
    paths to continued innovation in technology and content – innovative entrepreneurs will continue to shape the future of the industry
    3
    Traditional media will accelerate investment, cross-pollinating podcasts with other mainstream media formats
    Of traditional media, a few early movers made significant investments in 2019, which should produce results in 2020 and put pressure on competitors
    Leveraging their existing infrastructure and competencies, traditional media companies are well-positioned to become leaders in the podcast market
    Successful podcast IP translates to other media (e.g. TV/film) & companion podcasts created around other content (e.g. HBO’s “The Chernobyl Podcast”)
    Notes:
    *indicates BDMI portfolio company

    View Slide

  5. 5 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Thank You to the Following Industry Leaders
    BDMI leaned on expert perspectives and insights in formation of this report
    Notes:
    *indicates BDMI portfolio company
    Ad Results Media is a leading audio & podcast
    advertising agency working with numerous
    Fortune 500 and unicorn companies. Clients work
    with Ad Results to plan podcast campaigns, buy
    at scale, and optimize based on unique goals.
    ART19 enables publishers to manage all
    content and ad operations in one place and
    equips advertisers with services to target
    audiences through smart targeting and create
    customized audio messages. The company
    powers hundreds of millions of podcast
    downloads every month.
    *
    /
    Audio Alliance is a Bertelsmann division committed
    to the development and production of podcast
    programming, drawing on the IP base across
    Bertelsmann divisions. The six content divisions of
    Bertelsmann Germany together launched Audio
    Alliance and audio platform Audio Now in 2019.
    Podsights Analytics is the first product to
    connect podcast downloads with on-site activity,
    giving podcasters and advertisers
    unprecedented insights into the effectiveness of
    their campaigns and ability to retarget
    customers through best-in-class attribution
    technology.
    *
    Wondery is the largest independent podcast
    publisher in the world. Launched in 2016, and
    known for its immersive podcasts, Wondery became
    the fastest network to join the Top 10 ranker by
    Podtrac, propelled by hit shows such as Dr Death,
    Dirty John, American History Tellers, Business
    Wars, The Shrink Next Door and Gladiator.
    *
    Bertelsmann Asia Investments (BAI) has invested
    in more than 160 startups. BAI focuses on sectors
    including Urbanization and Retail, Finance, China
    Based Global Company, Social / Media / Content
    and Tech & Infrastructure.

    View Slide

  6. 6 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Section I
    Growth in the Podcast Market

    View Slide

  7. 7 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Podcasts Emerging as Mainstream Content Format
    Familiarity with podcasts in the US reached 70% in 2019
    Podcast Familiarity Up Sharply Since 2015 “Serial” Builds on Groundwork Laid By Early Adopters
    Over half of the US population has listened to a podcast(1)
    Notes:
    (1) Percentage of the US population over 12 years old; source: Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    (2) Indexed to 100% (peak popularity of both terms); example podcast content not represented chronologically
    % of US Population (Age 12+) That…
    Google Searches for “Serial” & “Podcast”(2)
    ▪ Before 2015, the podcast market was buoyed by strong network of early
    adopters with loyal followings (many had been around for nearly 10 years)
    ▪ True crime podcast “Serial,” developed by This American Life and
    launched in Oct 2014, is often credited for elevating podcasting into
    mainstream consciousness and as the first breakout hit in the medium,
    building on groundwork laid by early innovators
    45%
    49%
    70%
    23%
    33%
    51%
    0%
    20%
    40%
    60%
    80%
    100%
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
    Are familiar with podcasts
    Have listened to a podcast
    More people searched for “Serial” in Dec 2014 than had
    searched for “Podcast” in any month prior.
    0%
    20%
    40%
    60%
    80%
    100%
    Jan '10 Jan '11 Jan '12 Jan '13 Jan '14 Jan '15 Jan '16 Jan '17 Jan '18 Jan '19
    "Podcast" "Serial"

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  8. 8 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Among Podcast Listeners, Engagement is Active & Habitual
    Weekly podcast listeners average seven podcasts per week
    Steady Growth in Monthly & Weekly Listeners It’s Never Been Easier to Listen
    Notes:
    Source unless otherwise noted: Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    (1) Counterpoint Research, Liz Lee
    63%
    43%
    0%
    10%
    20%
    30%
    40%
    50%
    60%
    70%
    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
    Monthly Listeners as % of "Ever Listened"
    Weekly Listeners as % of "Ever Listened"
    ▪ An estimated
    90 million
    Americans are monthly
    podcast listeners (63%
    of people who have
    ever listened to a
    podcast)
    ▪ 62 million
    are weekly podcast
    listeners (43%)
    ▪ Weekly listeners
    average seven
    podcasts per week;
    84% listened to
    more than one
    Recent technological advances have made audio consumption
    possible in nearly all parts of a consumer’s day
    On average, podcast listeners spend 5 hours and 39 minutes
    per day listening to audio (including radio, digital radio, music, etc.)
    Growing install base of on-the-go audio listeners
    59%
    73%
    76%
    78%
    80%
    87%
    “You enjoy listening to
    podcasts because…”
    Can do other things while listening
    Portable
    Can listen wherever you are
    For particular hosts
    Can listen on a computer
    Make you feel smarter 0
    10
    20
    30
    40
    50
    Q4
    2018
    Q1
    2019
    Q2
    2019
    Q3
    2019
    Q4
    2019e
    Global Wireless "Hearables" Sold (millions)
    Global AirPods Sold (millions)
    Global “Hearables” Sales by Quarter(1)

    View Slide

  9. 9 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    US Advertising Growth Exceeding Expectations Differentiated Advertising Channel
    ▪ The US podcast advertising revenue market is expected to be $679m in 2019, 42% growth over 2018
    ▪ Market expected to cross the $1B mark in 2021
    ▪ 2018 finished 19% higher than IAB’s midyear projections. IAB also recently increased projections for
    2019 and 2020 by 32% and 31%, respectively(1)
    Notes:
    (1) “IAB FY 2018 Podcast Ad Revenue Study”, “Full Year 2017 Podcast Ad Revenue Study”
    (2) Nielsen ad effectiveness study. “Podcast Advertising Generates Up To 4.4x Better Brand Recall Than Other Digital Ads”
    (3) Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”; Percentages are of monthly podcast consumers, unless otherwise stated
    (4) eMarketer 2018; Activate Tech and Media Outlook 2018
    Podcast Advertising Growth is Exceeding Expectations
    For the first time, visibility to reaching $1B market size in 2021
    $ 106
    $ 169
    $ 314
    $ 479
    $ 679
    $ 863
    $ 1,045
    $ -
    $ 200
    $ 400
    $ 600
    $ 800
    $ 1,000
    $ 1,200
    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
    Industry Revenues (Actual)
    Estimates as of June 2019
    Estimates as of June 2018
    In ($millions)
    Podcast advertising is driving ROI for marketers
    4.4x Better Brand Recall
    compared to scroll ads, static ads, and pop-up ads(2)
    Podcasts provide access to a
    desirable demographic(3):
    ▪ 39% age 18-34 (vs. 28% of US pop.)
    ▪ 29% HHI >$100k (vs. 19% of US pop.)
    ▪ 53% have at least a college degree
    (vs. 39% of US pop.)
    54% of Listeners More Likely to Purchase
    54% of respondents said they were “much more likely”
    or “somewhat more likely” to consider a brand when
    they hear an advertisement on a podcast(3)
    61% of Listeners Have Purchased
    a product or service after hearing a podcast ad(4)

    View Slide

  10. 10 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Many Global Markets with Active Podcast Engagement
    Numerous publishers investing in internationalization and translation of podcast content
    China – The largest market size, but apples-to-orange comparison
    ▪ Market dominated by Ximalaya FM
    ▪ Formats and content are unique to other global trends (overweighted in
    educational content, paid models)
    Latin America – Four fastest growing podcast markets are Hispanic
    ▪ Widely spoken languages → content relevant to large population without
    need for translation
    ▪ Spotify investing in the region – now more than 20% of MAUs from region
    Reuters Institute study surveying 40 countries on six continents found
    36% of online respondents had listened to a podcast in the last month. In
    the under 35 years old demographic, this number was 50%(1).
    Notes:
    Source, unless otherwise identified: Reuters Institute Digital News Report 2019
    (1) Surveys were conducted online. Per Reuters Institute, “online samples will tend to underrepresent the consumption habits of
    people who are not online (typically older, less affluent, and with limited formal education). In this sense it is better to think of
    results as representative of online populations.”
    Europe – Building blocks in place for hyper-growth
    ▪ Podcast usage outpacing revenue generation
    ▪ High adoption of programmatic digital audio advertising
    ▪ However, scaling challenges from language / translation
    South Korea – Nearly a decade of popularity generating loyal usage
    ▪ Higher % listenership than US (53% vs. 35%)
    ▪ Technologically advanced society → digital audio & streaming adoption
    ▪ Momentum behind digital advertising market, growing 14% YoY

    View Slide

  11. 11 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    European Podcast Market Poised for Rapid Development
    High levels of internet connectedness already bringing six countries with 14m+ listeners to the table
    Notes:
    (1) Reuters Institute Digital News Report 2019; these countries are Spain, Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and United Kingdom
    (2) “Audio Stream to Revenue Stream,” Xaxis & IAB Europe
    (3) “Podcasting in Europe: Is an American Trend Crossing the Atlantic?” European Journalism Observatory, Rachel Stern, Feb 23, 2018
    (4) eMarketer, “Digital Ad Spending 2019”
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    ▪ Opportunities:
    ▪ High levels of internet connectedness, mobile usage, and
    existing engagement in audio (radio & digital)(1)
    ▪ 6 countries that each have 14m+ monthly podcast listeners(1)
    ▪ Robust adoption of audio advertising: 74% of advertisers
    spend on audio channels, and 59% do so programmatically,
    though typically as low percentages of total ad budget(2)
    ▪ 25-30% of population in major European economies are
    monthly listeners (Spain highest at 39%)
    ▪ Risks:
    ▪ Language barriers are a headwind for scalability
    ▪ Concentrated market of media creators and tighter regulation
    of media vs. US might lead to slower adoption by long-tail
    creators(3)
    ▪ European digital advertising market size trails US(4)
    …Though Market is Still Largely Localized
    “Wondery* Launches ‘Dr. Death’
    Podcast in Seven Languages in
    Markets Worldwide” –
    Variety, Aug 2019
    Early Movers Among Top US Publishers
    are Investing in European Market
    2018 Digital Ad
    Market (billions)
    % of Advertising
    on Digital
    2023e Digital Ad
    Market (billions) 5 Yr CAGR
    United States $ 108.6 48.6% $ 201.8 13.2%
    United Kingdom £ 13.2 63.8% £ 20.7 9.4%
    Germany € 6.6 34.3% € 9.9 8.4%
    France € 4.3 37.0% € 7.2 11.0%

    View Slide

  12. 12 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Significant Momentum in German Podcast Market
    33% of the German population has listened to a podcast, compared to 51% in the US
    Notes:
    Source: Edison Research & RTL Radio, “The Infinite Dial 2019 – Germany”
    Engagement Consumption Habits
    51%
    32%
    22%
    33%
    17%
    10%
    0%
    10%
    20%
    30%
    40%
    50%
    60%
    % Ever Listened % Listen Monthly % Listen Weekly
    US Germany
    11% 12%
    29%
    48%
    11% 12%
    31%
    46%
    0%
    10%
    20%
    30%
    40%
    50%
    60%
    5+ Years 3-5 Years 1-3 Years <1 Year
    US Germany
    While behind US levels, German podcast
    consumption is showing strength in the early days
    % Population Podcast Engagement
    % Podcast Listeners That Have Listened For:
    90%
    64%
    49%
    43%
    37% 37%
    85%
    32%
    27%
    11%
    34%
    21%
    0%
    10%
    20%
    30%
    40%
    50%
    60%
    70%
    80%
    90%
    100%
    At Home In a Car Walking Exercising Public Transit At Work
    US Germany
    US consumers
    are more likely
    to listen while
    on-the-move.
    Both markets experiencing swells of new listeners
    % That Have Ever Listened While:
    Despite prevalence of
    English-language
    content, German is the
    most listened-to
    language. Listener
    growth expected to
    accelerate following
    recent investments in
    German content.
    Languages to Listened To:
    German,
    62%
    English,
    11%
    Both
    Equally,
    22%
    Other, 5%
    Select German Hits
    Gemischtes
    Hack
    Comedy
    Fest &
    Flauschig
    Comedy
    Paardiologie
    Relationships
    Verbrechen
    True Crime
    Stern Crime
    Spurensuche
    True Crime

    View Slide

  13. 13 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Podcast Market in South Korea is Well-Established
    27m monthly podcast listeners following nearly a decade of familiarity
    Notes:
    (1) Reuters Institute Digital News Report 2019
    (2) “How South Korea became the world’s podcasting capital,” Ozy Media, Colin and Peleschuk, June 2019
    (3) Musically – South Korea Market Profile
    (4) “Digital ad market overwhelms broadcasting ads in Korea in 2018,” Maeil Business News Korea
    ▪ Opportunities:
    ▪ 27m (53% of the population) are monthly podcast listeners – higher percent than US and any of the 10 largest European countries(1)
    ▪ 20% of the population identifies as “avid fans” (vs. 12% in the US) and the average listener listens for 2.5 hours per day(2)
    ▪ 8.5m South Korean citizens are paying subscribers to a music streaming service(3)
    ▪ Compared to tech-savvy neighbor Japan, monthly listenership is much higher (53% vs. 23%)
    ▪ Nearly a decade of familiarity: Naneun Ggomsuda, a political comedy podcast that aired around
    the 2012 election, was the first hit in South Korea
    ▪ Risks:
    ▪ Digital advertising market ($3.7B) is still small relative to US and Europe, but growing quickly
    (14% YoY), driven by spend on mobile(4)
    ▪ Local platform claims to have 50% of market share (by listenership) – platform
    concentration may be headwind to international companies trying to enter market
    Naneun Ggomsuda
    aired April 2011 –
    December 2012

    View Slide

  14. 14 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Chinese Podcast Market Dwarves All Others, Though Key Differences
    $7.3B market size built on transactional revenue for educational courses, audiobooks
    Notes:
    (1) “FOMO in China is a $7 Billion Industry,” Marketplace, Jennifer Pak, Sep 13, 2018
    (2) “The Chinese “podcast” industry isn’t really podcasting as Americans think of it…,“ Nieman Lab, Nicholas Quah, May 2019
    (3) Lizhi FM F-1, filed Oct 28
    ▪ Opportunities:
    ▪ Market size estimated at ~$7.3B though includes other audio content outside of US-like podcasts
    (e.g. “Pay for Learning”, audiobooks)(1)
    ▪ Market dominated by Ximalaya FM, combining hosting services, program distribution, and RSS
    subscriber applications in one platform – an “audio YouTube”(2)
    ▪ “Pan-audio Entertainment” market estimated at $28.6B (compared to $51.4B in the US), growing at
    12.6% CAGR from 2018A-2023E (9.5% US over same period)(3)
    ▪ Transactional business models are the norm: subscription, pay per use, and tipping
    ▪ Diversity in top five podcast categories: 1) Culture, 2) Kids & Family, 3) Self-growth, 4) Finance, 5) Skills(1)
    ▪ Risks:
    ▪ Government regulation: unilateral ability to tinker with supply
    ▪ Dominance of few platforms can be unfavorable to creators(2)
    Top Players in Chinese
    Podcast Market

    View Slide

  15. 15 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Latin American Markets Still Small, but Listenership Rapidly Expanding
    Four fastest growing podcast markets are Spanish speaking countries
    Notes:
    (1) “Top Growing Podcasting Countries – March 2019,” Voxnest, Apr 2019
    (2) “Univision: The Data Reveals A Growing Opportunity For Spanish-Language Podcasts,” InsideRadio, Mar 2019
    (3) Spotify Form 20-F, Feb 2019
    ▪ Opportunities:
    ▪ Spanish is the fourth most-spoken language in the world – Spanish content maintains relevance across many countries
    ▪ The top four fastest growing countries for podcast listenership are Spanish speaking (Chile, Argentina, Peru, Mexico)(1)
    ▪ 4.8m US-based Hispanics listen to podcasts; 61% say they listen to more podcasts than they did a year ago(2)
    ▪ Spotify, armed with strong Spanish language content offerings, has built foothold in the region; Latin America was the company’s fastest
    growing geography in 2018 (22% of total MAUs, 35% growth YoY)(1)(3)
    ▪ In Brazil, monthly podcast consumption on Spotify has been growing by 21% on average since Jan 2018(4) and 51% of the “online”
    population listen to podcasts monthly(5)
    ▪ Risks:
    ▪ Digital advertising markets are still small, particularly in audio, and are among the lowest CPMs globally(1)
    ▪ Spotify acknowledges challenges monetizing their free-tier, ad-supported user base in Latin America(3)
    ▪ Limited monetization opportunities and funding sources constrict content supply relative to availability of creative talent(6)
    4) “Podcast market booms in Brazil,” Angelica Mari, Nov 2019
    5) Reuters Institute Digital News Report 2019
    6) “The keys to starting a podcast business in Latin America,” Erick Yañez Navarro, Apr 2019

    View Slide

  16. 16 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Two Growth Vectors Expected to Drive Progress in Podcast Market
    BDMI believes the podcast market will continue to grow because…
    Audio content consumption is
    nowhere near saturation and
    obvious gaps in consumer
    education exist
    Technological advancements
    in podcast advertising driving
    demand from marketers +
    untapped revenue streams in
    direct-to-consumer
    monetization provide upside

    View Slide

  17. 17 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Notes:
    Source unless otherwise noted: Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    (1) “Podcasts Are Getting Shorter”, Megaphone, July 15, 2019
    Two Growth Vectors Expected to Drive Progress in Podcast Market
    Audio content consumption is nowhere near saturation and obvious gaps in consumer education exist
    53 million Americans have heard of
    podcasts but never listened to one
    Among monthly podcast listeners, many
    are new to the format and consuming
    more now than ever
    Of monthly podcast listeners:
    41%
    More
    45%
    <1 Yr
    46%
    Same
    30%
    1-3 Yrs
    13% Less 25%
    3+ Yrs
    0%
    20%
    40%
    60%
    80%
    100%
    Compared to One Year Ago,
    Consuming Podcasts
    Number of Years Listening
    to Podcasts
    Commonly cited reasons for not listening to podcasts reveal
    market opportunity and a need for consumer education
    Commonly Cited Reason
    “Listening to podcasts can use up
    a lot of data”
    41% Most podcasts are downloaded at home
    “I don’t have a podcast app on my
    phone”
    41%
    iOS and Android phones have native podcast
    apps
    “Podcasts are too long” 40%
    More availability of shorter podcasts: 34% of
    podcasts are <30 min vs. 16% in ’18(1)
    “You have to pay to subscribe to
    podcasts”
    38%
    Paid podcast services are new and represent
    small percent of market
    “I don’t know how to find podcasts” 35%
    Solvable with market education / better
    discovery
    “I don’t know what a podcast is” 22%
    Solvable with market education
    “There aren’t any podcasts about
    music”
    16%
    Many top publishers produce shows about
    music, including NPR, iHeartMedia, & Spotify
    % of Respondents Reality

    View Slide

  18. 18 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Notes:
    (1) Source: Nielsen & Hackernoon, “State of Podcasts 2018”
    Two Growth Vectors Expected to Drive Progress in Podcast Market
    Upside available from adtech advancements + untapped revenue streams in D2C monetization
    Unscalability of podcast ad
    creative…
    Podcast adtech trails
    sophistication of
    established channels…
    Advertising-only
    models leave money
    on the table…
    Challenges: Current impediments to podcast market growth
    … dynamic creative,
    synthetic editing tools, &
    podcast best-practices
    … podcast technology
    enabling greater ROI for
    and thus demand from
    advertisers
    … major players and new
    entrants attempting to
    capitalize on trend (early
    results inconclusive)
    $ 0.72
    $ 0.57
    $ 0.24
    $ 0.13
    $ 0.11
    $ 0.01
    Newspapers
    Magazines
    Internet
    TV
    Radio
    Podcasts
    Average Revenue per
    Active User per Hour(1)
    Monetization Lags Other Ad Channels 1 2 3
    1 2 3
    Opportunity: Recent tech advancements / industry activity illuminate positive trends

    View Slide

  19. 19 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Notes:
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    Two Growth Vectors Expected to Drive Progress in Podcast Market
    Upside available from adtech advancements + untapped revenue streams in D2C monetization (cont.)
    Opportunity: Recent tech advancements / industry activity illuminate positive trends
    ▪ Current ad model is high touch
    ▪ Over 50% of podcast ads are still edited-in / baked-in
    ▪ Two-thirds of ads are host-read, one-third are pre-produced
    Unscalability of
    podcast ad
    creative
    Challenges: Current impediments to podcast market growth
    Dynamic creative,
    synthetic editing
    tools, & podcast
    best-practices
    1
    1
    ▪ Dynamic creative has potential to scale podcast advertising as
    it did for display
    ▪ Synthetic audio tools enabled scaled content creation
    ▪ With hindsight, podcasts can avoid Web 2.0 pitfalls e.g. oversaturation &
    non-nativeness – podcast advertising best-practices already emerging
    “The new standard for data-
    driven creative”
    *

    View Slide

  20. 20 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Two Growth Vectors Expected to Drive Progress in Podcast Market
    Upside available from adtech advancements + untapped revenue streams in D2C monetization (cont.)
    Opportunity: Recent tech advancements / industry activity illuminate positive trends
    Benefits of Web / Display
    ▪ Audience Analytics
    ▪ Attribution
    ▪ Dynamic Targeting
    ▪ Interactivity
    Podcast adtech
    trails sophistication
    of established
    channels
    Challenges: Current impediments to podcast market growth
    Podcast technology
    enabling greater
    ROI for advertisers
    2
    2
    Example podcast adtech developments
    ▪ Dynamic ad insertion, unlocking inventory in catalogs – 49% of ad revenue came from dynamically inserted ads in 2018(1)
    ▪ programmatic offerings grow the advertising pie and reduce friction in ad sales
    ▪ cross-platform attribution for podcast advertising
    ▪ competitive intelligence
    ▪ interactive audio advertising
    Inherently difficult in
    audio formats
    *
    Notes:
    (1) Source: “IAB FY 2018 Podcast Ad Revenue Study”
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    *

    View Slide

  21. 21 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Two Growth Vectors Expected to Drive Progress in Podcast Market
    Upside available from adtech advancements + untapped revenue streams in D2C monetization (cont.)
    Opportunity: Recent tech advancements / industry activity illuminate positive trends
    Early indications of consumer willingness to pay:
    ▪ Membership Models
    ▪ Live / Events
    ▪ Merchandise
    Advertising-only
    models leave
    money on the table
    Challenges: Current impediments to podcast market growth
    Major players and new
    entrants attempting to
    capitalize on trend(1)
    3
    3
    Notes:
    (1) Early results are inconclusive. Well-publicized challenges with Luminary launch in 2019 not thought to be indictment of market opportunity.
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    *
    Content:
    Non-Ad Revenue
    Enablement:

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  22. 22 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Section II
    The Podcast Listener

    View Slide

  23. 23 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Podcast Listeners Are Disproportionately Young, Wealthy, & Educated
    71%
    10% 11%
    8%
    59%
    12%
    17%
    12%
    0%
    10%
    20%
    30%
    40%
    50%
    60%
    70%
    80%
    < $75k $75k - $100k $100k - $150k $150k+
    Demographics by Annual Income
    32%
    26%
    19%
    20%
    20%
    27%
    25%
    28%
    0%
    5%
    10%
    15%
    20%
    25%
    30%
    35%
    High School or
    Less
    Some College Four-Year
    College Degree
    Some Grad
    School or
    Advanced
    Degree
    Demographics by Education Level
    9%
    28%
    32%
    31%
    10%
    39%
    35%
    16%
    0%
    5%
    10%
    15%
    20%
    25%
    30%
    35%
    40%
    45%
    Age 12 - 17 Age 18 - 34 Age 35 - 54 Age 55+
    Demographics by Age
    Notes:
    Source, unless otherwise noted: Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    (1) Source: Stitcher, as presented at the IAB 2019 Podcast Upfront, Oct 2019 Most over-indexed demographics
    31% of new listeners (<1yr) are
    under 24 years old(1)

    View Slide

  24. 24 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Podcast Listeners are Curious & Seeking Entertainment
    “Learn New Things” & “Be Entertained” are top two reasons given for podcast consumption
    % of Monthly Podcast Listeners That Have Listened In Order To:
    Notes:
    Source: Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    24%
    37%
    47%
    51%
    60%
    71%
    74%
    Have Companionship
    Escape
    Feel Inspired
    Relax
    Stay Up-To-Date With Latest Topics
    Be Entertained
    Learn New Things

    View Slide

  25. 25 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Listener Profiles Illuminate Advertising Value and Market Growth Potential
    ▪ Despite previous challenges identifying unique
    listeners, early growth in the podcast advertising
    market was buoyed by the fact that the medium
    reaches a high ROI demographic
    ▪ Improvements in technology are making these
    general demographic observations less relevant
    for advertisers as high-value, hyper-targeted
    audience segments are reachable
    Takeaways
    Market Growth
    Advertising Value
    ▪ Early demographic trends in podcasting reflect
    usage by groups that are typically early adopters of
    new technologies
    ▪ Podcast discovery has been predominantly self-
    researched or word-of-mouth, effectively
    perpetuating these demographic trends until new
    discovery solutions arise(1)
    ▪ As the medium matures, particularly around content
    offerings and discovery mechanisms, podcasting
    will democratize and appeal to a larger base of
    potential listeners
    ▪ Growth is coming from non-core
    demographics (e.g. among new listeners, 65%
    female, 30% non-white(2))
    Notes:
    (1) Source: Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    (2) Source: Stitcher, as presented at the IAB 2019 Podcast Upfront, Oct 2019

    View Slide

  26. 26 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Section III
    The Podcast Creator

    View Slide

  27. 27 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Variety in the Podcast Content Market Appeals to Wide Range of Listeners
    Listeners want a diversity of show types, and savvy publishers are supplying
    Over 700k Active Podcasts
    With a variety of genres(1)
    Genre
    % of Weekly
    Listeners
    Consuming / wk
    Comedy 36%
    News 23%
    Society & Culture 22%
    Sports 15%
    True Crime 12%
    Arts 11%
    Business 10%
    Religion &
    Spirituality
    10%
    TV & Film 8%
    Science 6%
    Notes:
    (1) Source: Edison Research, “comedy, news, and society and culture podcasts most listened-to genres in podcasting”; (2) PodTrac; * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    The most popular shows are
    general interest / news…
    … and popular new shows are mix of
    true crime, comedy, and culture.
    Top 10
    Podcasts
    by Total
    Audience –
    Nov 2019(2)
    Top 10 New
    Podcasts of
    2019
    by Avg
    Downloads
    / Episode(2)
    Podcast Publisher
    1 The Daily NYT
    2 Up First NPR
    3 Stuff You Should Know iHeartRadio
    4 This American Life This American Life
    5 Ben Shapiro Show Daily Wire
    6 Pardon My Take Barstool Sports
    7 Call Her Daddy Barstool Sports
    8 Wait Wait… Don’t Tell Me NPR
    9 Planet Money NPR
    10 NPR Politics Podcast NPR
    Podcast Publisher
    1 The Shrink Next Door Wondery*
    2 The Ron Burgundy Podcast iHeartRadio
    3 Over My Dead Body Wondery*
    4 Man in the Window Wondery*
    5 The Thing About Pam NBC News
    6 Bad Batch Wondery*
    7 White Lies NPR
    8 Dolly Parton's America WNYC
    9 The Mysterious Mr. Epstein Wondery*
    10 Chelsea Handler: Life Will… iHeartRadio
    Top publishers are a mix of radio,
    traditional, digital, and podcast-
    first publishers
    Top 10 Podcast Publishers – Nov 2019(2)
    Publisher
    Publisher
    Category
    US MAUs
    (millions)
    Active
    Shows
    1 NPR Radio Publisher 22.2 67
    2 iHeartRadio Radio Publisher 21.2 327
    3 New York Times Traditional Media 10.5 10
    4 Wondery Podcast-First 9.9 82
    5 PRX Radio Publisher 9.1 81
    6 Barstool Sports Digital Publisher 6.8 32
    7 ESPN Traditional Media 5.8 62
    8 WNYC Studios Radio Publisher 6.6 54
    9 NBC News Traditional Media 5.5 27
    10
    This American
    Life / Serial
    Radio Publisher 4.7 2
    *

    View Slide

  28. 28 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Opportunity for Traditional Media to Establish Leadership in Podcasting
    Outside of a few key exceptions, traditional media investment in podcasts still exploratory
    To date, podcast content creation has been dominated by radio, podcast-first,
    and indie publishers. In general, traditional media companies have not converted
    existing audiences to audio audiences at scale, and investment has been mostly
    exploratory. However, with visibility to a market size above $1B, certain early
    movers are laying the ground work ahead of material revenue opportunities.
    Traditional media’s involvement in podcasting typically takes the form of either:
    1) Repurposing existing content – news, talk show formats translate well across media formats; not
    always 1:1 copy, but demand and popularity are proven; 2) Companion podcasts – allows traditional
    media companies to own more of the conversation around their existing content with analysis, behind-
    the-scenes access, etc. (e.g. “The Good Place: The Podcast” by NBC)
    Some also employ podcasts for validating IP (e.g. The Weekly TV show by the New York Times)
    Notable exceptions to these trends in the US include The New York Times, ESPN, and NBC – each
    have successfully translated content into audio formats and created unique programming specifically for
    audio, and listeners have followed (all are among top ten publishers in the US).(4)
    Relatively little investment in the medium by peers presents an opportunity for a traditional media player
    to establish itself as a leader early in the market’s evolution. Recent announcements reveal a recognition of
    attractive trends and a doubling down by a few traditional players (e.g. NBC News in partnership with Wondery*(1),
    UCP gets into podcast creation(2), WarnerMedia building podcast ad sales team and stable of shows(3)).
    Notes: (1) “NBC News Plans to Double Original Podcasts in Deal with Wondery,” AdWeek, Kelsey Sutton, Oct 2019; (2) “UCP Gets Into Podcasting,” Deadline, Nellie
    Andreeva, Nov 2019; (3) “WarnerMedia sets up podast ad sales team,” TheDrum, Andrew Blustein, Oct 2019; (4) PodTrac; * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    *
    Example: NBC Podcast Strategy
    Audio replica
    of weekly TV
    show
    Mix of repurposed
    and original content
    Companion
    podcast to
    popular TV show

    View Slide

  29. 29 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Bertelsmann in Podcasting
    Market leadership in Germany born from ability to leverage Bertelsmann IP and infrastructure
    Bertelsmann division, Audio Alliance, is a production company developing all podcasts
    and audio-on-demand offerings from the six Bertelsmann Content Alliance partners,
    Mediengruppe RTL Deutschland, RTL Radio Deutschland, UFA, Verlagsgruppe
    Random House, Gruner + Jahr, and BMG.
    Audio Alliance works with Bertelsmann divisions to leverage existing IP and network
    personalities into high quality audio programming. On the back of traditional media
    infrastructure, Audio Alliance is the largest content producer in Germany after
    launching in May 2019.
    In March 2019, RTL Radio Deutschland launched Audio Now, a consumer
    offering distributing the best podcasts and audio content from German radio
    / digital audio. Audio Now is among the top distributors of podcasts in
    Germany. An advantage in understanding consumer listening habits helps
    inform Audio Alliance’s data-driven content creation strategy.

    View Slide

  30. 30 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Clear Trends Emerging in Non-Advertising Business Models
    Podcast creators already monetizing through Direct to Consumer and Licensing models
    1 2
    Direct To Consumer
    ▪ Premium content
    ▪ Donations / tips
    ▪ Products / merch
    ▪ Events
    Licensing
    ▪ Exclusive platforms
    ▪ Multimedia

    View Slide

  31. 31 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Devoted Audiences Enable Direct to Consumer Monetization
    Each of four main direct to consumer monetization channels show early indications of traction
    Premium
    Content
    Donations /
    Tips
    ▪ Offer first-access or bonus content on either subscription or a la carte model
    ▪ Can be done either in partnership with platforms (e.g. Acast Access, Glow.fm) or with private RSS
    feeds via horizontal audience management software (e.g. Patreon, Pico)
    ▪ 31% of podcast listeners, and 46% of those that listen to at least one hour per week, have paid to
    access podcast content behind a paywall(1)
    Crime Junkie bonus episodes
    available for $5 / month
    ▪ Audiences directly donate to or tip their favorite creators via donation-focused channels (e.g.
    GoFundMe / Kickstarter, Patreon); precedence for this model historically (e.g. public radio) and in
    new digital channels (e.g. tipping streamers on Twitch)
    ▪ Podcasting is Patreon’s 2nd largest category(2) and 13k podcasters use Patreon for monetization(3)
    ▪ 33% of podcast listeners, and 48% of those that listen to at least one hour per week, have donated
    to a podcast or podcast host(1)
    Products /
    Merch
    ▪ Brand-building products and merchandise, e.g. clothing, drinkware, posters
    ▪ As audiences “identify” with podcast content, they have shown propensity to acquire merchandise
    as they do for favorite brands in other categories → organic marketing & publicity for creators
    ▪ Many podcasts offer merch through ecommerce platforms e.g. Shopify
    ▪ 37% of podcast listeners, and 53% of those that listen to at least one hour per week, have
    purchased podcast related merchandise(1)
    Notes: (1) BDMI survey powered by Suzy – see next page for detail; (2) “How Patreon is Bringing Podcasters Closers to Their Audience,” Forbes, Joshua Dudley, January 2019; (3) “Podcasting & Audio Market Map,”
    Andreessen Horowitz; (4) “Why live podcasts are becoming a big deal this year,” Digiday, Max Willens, March 2017
    Events
    ▪ Formats include live podcast recordings, meet & greets, festivals, audience game shows, etc.
    ▪ Ex: Slate has hosted live Political Gabfests since 2009 and reliably sells up to 1,200 tickets/show(4)
    ▪ Large scale podcast festivals incl. LA Podfest, Midroll’s Now Hear This and WNYC’s Werk It
    ▪ 30% of podcast listeners, and 39% of those that listen to at least one hour per week, have attended
    an event related to a podcast or the podcast industry(1)

    View Slide

  32. 32 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Among Most Active Listeners, Strong Signals of Willingness to Pay
    BDMI used Suzy to survey 5,000 respondents regarding podcast listening and spending habits
    Have you ever donated
    money to a podcast or
    podcast host? (For example,
    through platforms such as
    GoFundMe, Patreon,
    Kickstarter, etc.)
    Have you ever attended an
    event related to a podcast or
    the podcast industry? (For
    example, a live recording, an
    event with podcast
    personalities, a podcast
    industry festival/convention)
    Have you ever purchased
    merchandise related to a
    podcast? (For example, a t-
    shirt, mug, stickers, etc.)
    Have you ever paid money to
    access podcast content
    behind a paywall? (For
    example, as a subscription or
    through a one time payment)
    Notes: Survey respondents randomized, not a representative sample of US population
    n=2500 n=1434 n=793
    Survey powered by…
    Suzy is a real-time consumer
    intelligence platform that
    connects you directly to your
    target audience to get instant
    feedback on any business
    decision, big or small.
    n=2500 n=1426 n=788 n=2500 n=985 n=550 n=2500 n=1415 n=779
    Respondents Who Have
    Ever Listened to a Podcast
    Respondents Who Listen to
    >1 Hours per Week
    Respondents Who Listen to
    >2 Hours per Week
    30.5%
    33.3%
    30.0%
    37.4%
    45.7%
    48.2%
    39.0%
    53.3%
    51.6%
    54.6%
    42.0%
    58.2%
    0.0%
    10.0%
    20.0%
    30.0%
    40.0%
    50.0%
    60.0%
    70.0%

    View Slide

  33. 33 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Quality Podcast IP & Talent Generating Demand from Platforms & Publishers
    Exclusive Platforms Multimedia Licensing
    Strong podcast IP generating demand from other media formats
    Takeaways: scripted, narrative programming and
    personality-driven shows are in highest demand
    Notes: (1) “The Podcast TV Check-in,” The Ringer, Alison Herman, November 2018
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    First example in the podcast-to-television pipeline(1) – an
    absurdist comedy talk show, first aired in 2012, based on the
    cult-favorite podcast
    Podcast publisher, Wondery*, has had 10 shows
    ordered to series or in active development,
    including Dirty John (second season announced
    in May 2019)
    Other
    notable
    examples:
    TV / Film
    Books
    Audio platforms are paying creators for exclusivity
    “Apple Plans to Bankroll Original Podcasts to Fend
    Off Rivals,” Shaw and Gurman, Bloomberg, July 2019
    “With Big Stars and Paid Subscriptions, Luminary
    Aims to Be the Netflix of Podcasts,” Brooks Barnes,
    New York Times, March 2019
    Luminary has raised $100m to pursue deals for
    celebrity-driven programming; rumored to be paying
    some creators well north of $1m.
    “Amy Schumer Takes Her Raunchy Humor to Spotify
    in Podcast Deal” Lucas Shaw, Bloomberg, May 2018
    Spotify reportedly offered the comic over $1m for
    rights to “3 Girls, 1 Keith”

    View Slide

  34. 34 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Best Practices for Podcast Creators
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    The podcast market is early, and as such there are few tried-and-true formulas for content creation. Therefore,
    be flexible: experiment, track, and adjust. There is room in the market for both high-production value (scripted,
    narrative, highly produced) and easy-to-produce (e.g. conversational / unscripted) content.
    Leverage your existing marketing muscle – social media is powerful, promote podcasts on other podcasts you
    are connected to, use traditional press channels. Leveraging the effects of a network (e.g. The Ringer,
    Stitcher/Midroll, Wondery*) or including influential talent on the podcast are good ways to grow marketing reach.
    Utilize third party data to select / develop content based on your audience and what others are listening to. First
    party data is a potential differentiator.
    Advertising is still the best channel for scaled monetization; ~25k downloads per episode to attract interest from
    national brands, but smaller scale advertisers and D2C channels often available from beginning. In pursuing
    D2C channels, maintain brand voice and / or use D2C channels as a brand extension and marketing channel.
    Intuitively, good, in-demand content remains the best way to grow a listener base. Biggest focus should be on
    creating content listeners want to hear – know your audience.
    * Indicates BDMI portfolio company

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  35. 35 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Section IV
    The Podcast Advertiser

    View Slide

  36. 36 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Scalable Advertising Models are Growing Year Over Year
    Host-read ads still dominate podcasting advertising with 63% of the market
    Notes:
    Source, unless otherwise noted: “IAB FY 2018 Podcast Ad Revenue Study”
    (1) “Why Listeners Respond to Podcast Ads,” Backyard Media, December 2017
    1. Host-Read Ads
    ▪ Ads read by the podcast host natively within the podcast’s
    content – draws from old radio practices
    ▪ Host personality injected into the ad, sometimes comes with
    endorsement – drives strong ad performance(1)
    ▪ Despite scalability challenges, still most common ad format
    2. Pre-Produced Ads
    ▪ Podcast publisher / host has some creative control
    ▪ Typically recorded in standard lengths (:30, :60, :90) and later
    edited into podcasts – scalable and unlocks library value
    3. Supplied Ads
    ▪ Pre-recorded ads supplied by the advertiser / agency without
    creative / production input from podcast team
    ▪ May have been created for radio broadcast or intended solely
    for podcast
    ▪ A small portion of all ads, but growing quickly as advertisers
    and agencies focus on podcasts
    32.7%
    66.9%
    0.5%
    2017
    35.0%
    63.3%
    1.7%
    2018
    Host-Read
    Pre-Produced
    Supplied
    Revenue Share by Ad Type

    View Slide

  37. 37 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Improvements in Analytics Create Less Reliance on Direct Response Ads
    IAB survey indicates direct response ads make up a majority, though decreasing, share of campaigns
    1. Direct Response
    ▪ Ads with call-to-actions (often a promo code or unique URL)
    as a mechanism for tracking and measuring engagement
    2. Brand Awareness
    ▪ Principal goal to raise brand awareness – no specific call-to-
    action for tracking
    3. Branded Content
    ▪ Podcast content paid for and generated by the advertiser
    ▪ Ex: “The Message” by GE, “#LIPSTORIES” by Sephora
    Notes:
    Source: “IAB FY 2018 Podcast Ad Revenue Study”
    Revenue Share by Campaign Type
    Advertisers tending towards brand awareness and branded
    content as understanding of audiences & reach improve
    25.4%
    73.0%
    1.5%
    29.2%
    64.2%
    6.5%
    38.2%
    51.6%
    10.1%
    0.0%
    10.0%
    20.0%
    30.0%
    40.0%
    50.0%
    60.0%
    70.0%
    80.0%
    Brand Awareness Direct Response Branded Content
    2016 2017 2018

    View Slide

  38. 38 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Enterprise-Scale Brands and Agencies Beginning to Invest in Podcasts
    Market built on direct response advertising now expanded to include different types of marketers
    $ -
    $ 100
    $ 200
    $ 300
    $ 400
    $ 500
    $ 600
    $ 700
    $ 800
    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
    Phase I
    Early advertising market built nearly
    exclusively on unique URLs and promo
    codes from direct response /
    performance marketers
    Many early advertisers were well-
    capitalized / venture-backed digitally-
    native brands, though not exclusively
    Phase II
    Influx of advertisers seeking lift on brand
    recognition KPIs
    Larger brands (F500) paying more
    attention, following direct response
    advertisers’ “smart money”
    Deep pocketed marketers can afford to
    “explore” channel while still investing
    meaningful capital
    Podcasting a defense mechanism for
    incumbent brands versus upstarts
    Traditional advertising agencies feeling
    pressure to be involved
    Industry Market Size ($ in millions)

    View Slide

  39. 39 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Key Developments in Data Standardization Have Brought Industry Forward
    December 2018
    IAB Tech Lab rolls out podcast
    measurement compliance certification
    program
    December 2017
    Apple releases analytics service for show
    creators after announcing at developer
    conference over the summer and years of “black
    box” secrecy – publishers finally able to report
    listener engagement, create new advertising
    products (postroll, longer ad slots proven viable),
    make editorial adjustments
    December 2018
    NPR’s Remote Audio Data system
    launches as open source mobile SDK
    December 2017
    IAB releases Podcast Measurement
    Guidelines 2.0, clarifying definitions of
    audience and downloads
    September 2016
    IAB, in partnership
    with 23 industry
    players, creates the
    first standardized
    definition of industry
    terms re content
    delivery, ad delivery,
    ad tracking, and
    audience. Credited
    with leveling the
    playing field among
    advertisers and
    creators.

    View Slide

  40. 40 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Why Advertise in Audio?
    It Works, and
    It Works Well
    Channel is
    Rich in
    Authenticity
    Active
    Consumption
    for Hard-to-
    Reach
    Audience
    In Nascent
    Stages, the
    Industry Will
    Continue to
    Optimize
    High Value
    Advertising
    Channel
    4.4x better brand
    recall compared to
    scroll ads, static ads,
    and pop-up ads(1);
    54% of listeners more
    likely to purchase(2);
    61% of podcast
    listeners have
    purchased a product
    or service after
    hearing a podcast
    ad(3).
    Podcast listening is an
    active, opt-in
    experience. Result is
    attentive audience.
    Main demographics in
    podcasting are likely to
    be ad-free in other
    media. 78% of podcast
    listeners don’t mind
    ads because they
    know sponsors
    support the podcast(3).
    Lessons learned from
    Internet 2.0
    advertising, with
    industry new enough to
    continue to refine and
    set best practices –
    e.g. keeping ad loads
    low generating more
    value. Opportunity for
    early-mover brands to
    take advantage of
    learnings.
    Personality driven
    medium = natural
    influencer advertising
    models and principles.
    Audio is “emotionally
    transparent”(4).
    Notes:
    (1) Nielsen ad effectiveness study. “Podcast Advertising Generates Up To 4.4x Better Brand Recall Than Other Digital Ads”
    (2) Edison Research, “The Podcast Consumer 2019”
    (3) Stitcher, as presented at the IAB 2019 Podcast Upfront, Oct 2019
    (4) “Demystifying the Podcast Ecosystem,” panel discussion by AdResults Media, Sep 2019

    View Slide

  41. 41 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Best Practices for the Podcast Advertiser
    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    In direct response advertising, repetition and taking the time to drive messaging home can lead to better
    conversion. However, strike the right balance – long ads for the sake of length may annoy listeners.
    Commit enough resources to meaningfully learn from results – practice A/B testing, hone the message. The
    best campaigns are a mix of host-read ads and dynamically inserted ads – both can inform each other.
    When the brand and content align, a campaign has a better chance of performing. Know the audience – not all
    sports fans are comedy fans, not all business-news enthusiasts are entrepreneurs.
    Know your goals for an advertising campaign. What KPIs will you track? Do the benefits of host-read ads
    outweigh the potential risks of letting go of the messaging?
    For performance marketing, make sure the deals are compelling enough to drive conversion. Be smart about
    attribution measurement.

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  42. 42 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Section V
    Podcasts & the Capital Markets

    View Slide

  43. 43 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    0
    5
    10
    15
    20
    25
    30
    35
    $ -
    $ 20
    $ 40
    $ 60
    $ 80
    $ 100
    $ 120
    $ 140
    $ 160
    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
    Announced Aggregate Funding Amount Number of Deals
    Venture Funding Increasing, But Concentrated in a Few Bets
    In 2019, more podcasting companies raised venture or growth capital than any previous year
    Announced
    Funding
    Amount ($m)
    Number of
    Deals
    Podcast Venture Activity by Year(1)
    ▪ Venture activity in podcasting is
    growing, but still small relative to other
    categories
    ▪ Total venture investment limited by
    current market size – VCs interested
    in the category are making bets on
    accelerated market growth
    ▪ Following acquisitions such as Stitcher,
    Gimlet, and Anchor, few independent
    players with significant venture
    funding remain
    ▪ Total investment is concentrated
    and the landscape is still young –
    67% of announced funding in 2019
    went to Luminary and Acast; only 5
    deals were over $10m
    Notes:
    (1) Source: CBInsights; includes global venture and growth capital investments made in podcast companies
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    *
    *
    *
    *

    View Slide

  44. 44 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Select Podcast / Audio M&A Transactions
    In a podcast arms race, major audio platforms have been the biggest spenders
    Notes: (1) Source: CBInsights, press releases, public filings
    Acquirer
    Acquired
    Companies
    Transaction Details Commentary
    ▪ Gimlet acquired in Feb 2019 for $230m
    ▪ Anchor acquired in Feb 2019 for $170m
    ▪ Parcast acquired in Mar 2019 for $56m
    ▪ Spotify doubling down on podcasting and originals as way to lower
    average content cost
    ▪ Most aggressive acquirer in 2019, buying across whole value chain
    ▪ Publicly acknowledged big budget for more acquisitions
    ▪ HowStuffWorks acq. in Sep 2018 for $55m
    ▪ Jelli acquired in Nov 2018
    ▪ RadioJar acquired in Feb 2019
    ▪ HowStuffWorks was an early podcast content network → synergistic
    pairing with iHeart's digital audio assets
    ▪ Following bankruptcy in 2018, podcast capabilities in content and tech
    have helped lift iHeart’s top and bottom lines
    ▪ Remaining 55% of Cadence13 acquired in
    Aug 2019, representing EV of $50m
    ▪ Pineapple Street Media acquired in Aug 2019
    for $18m
    ▪ Acquired capabilities in production (incl. partnerships with leading
    media brands) and services for creators (auddev, advertising)
    ▪ The three companies had more than 150m downloads in Q2 2019
    ▪ AdsWizz acquired in Mar 2018 for $145m ▪ Pandora publicly confirmed commitment to programmatic audio adtech
    and podcasting at time of acquisition
    ▪ PRX and PRI merged in Aug 2018 ▪ Merger of two public radio networks in recognition of podcast tailwinds;
    no money changed hands, but $10m growth capital from WGBH
    ▪ Pocket Casts acquired in May 2018 ▪ Partnership among leading publishers to acquire podcast app –
    recognition of industry need for better discovery and UX
    Major Audio Platforms
    Spotify made biggest splashes in podcast M&A markets in 2019

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  45. 45 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Select Podcast / Audio M&A Transactions (cont.)
    Traditional media companies have made limited number of acquisitions; EW Scripps the exception
    Notes: (1) Source: CBInsights, press releases, public filings
    Acquirer
    Acquired
    Companies
    Transaction Details Commentary
    ▪ Midroll acquired in Jul 2015 for $60m
    ▪ Stitcher acquired in Jun 2016 for $4.5m
    ▪ Triton acquired in Oct 2018 for $150m
    ▪ Omny Studio acquired in Jun 2019
    ▪ Acquisitions across the value chain: content, technology (ad serving /
    analytics), ad sales, distribution
    ▪ Stitcher is primary podcast brand and parent to Midroll, others
    ▪ Acquisition of Midroll included Earwolf, which merged with The Mid Roll
    in 2014 to form Midroll Media
    ▪ Heartbeats acquired in Sep 2019 ▪ Danish magazine company acquired one of Denmark's leading
    producers of podcasts
    ▪ Pacific Content acquired in May 2019 ▪ An existing radio broadcaster, Rogers acknowledges emergence of
    podcast format in audio landscape and desire to be aggressive in trend
    ▪ AudioHQ acquired Oct 2017 ▪ UK-based media company acquired US-based digital audio advertising
    sales company
    Traditional Media
    As traditional media companies seek to grow podcast market share, additional acquisition activity should follow

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  46. 46 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Select Podcast / Audio M&A Transactions (cont.)
    Podcast-first companies have made strategic acquisitions for product development or market share
    Notes: (1) Source: CBInsights, press releases, public filings
    * indicates BDMI portfolio company
    Acquirer
    Acquired
    Companies
    Transaction Notes Commentary
    ▪ BirchSound acquired in Dec 2019 ▪ Deal accelerates move into South Korean podcast ad sales market –
    BirchSound has significant share of country’s existing market today
    ▪ Lyrebird acquired in Sep 2019 ▪ Editing toolkit for podcasters with VC backing acquires AI capabilities
    through Lyrebird
    ▪ Early days for AI-enabled audio content, but likely to become important
    tech advancement in scaling creation
    ▪ Pippa acquired in Apr 2019 ▪ Supports Acast’s international expansion
    ▪ Opens platform up to consumers and small scale hosting – long-tail
    monetization had been on roadmap
    ▪ Spreaker acquired in Jan 2018
    (Spreaker and BlogTalkRadio merged in
    Aug 2017)
    ▪ Monetization and long-tail publisher tool suite allowed for immediate
    market share growth; Voxnest has since leveraged Spreaker technology
    to move upstream and launch Enterprise services in Jan 2019
    ▪ Cast Feed Validator acquired in Nov 2017 ▪ Acquired additional technology offering for podcast creators
    Podcast-First Companies
    Available capital from this buyer set is limited, but with growth, independent platforms will increasingly turn to M&A
    *

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  47. 47 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Select Podcast / Audio M&A Transactions (cont.)
    Technology platforms have been largely uninvolved with podcast M&A markets
    Notes:
    (1) Source: CBInsights, press releases, public filings
    Technology Platforms
    Following Spotify’s aggressive moves in 2019, technology platforms like Google and Apple may be acquisitive in 2020
    Acquirer
    Acquired
    Companies
    Transaction Notes Commentary
    ▪ 60db acquired in Oct 2017 ▪ Acquihire for digital audio tech talent
    ▪ Swell acquired in Feb 2019 for $30m
    ▪ Pop Up Archive acquired in Dec 2017
    ▪ Two relevant digital audio technology acquisitions to date
    ▪ Digital radio app Swell acquired and promptly shuttered; likely acquihire
    for tech talent

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  48. 48 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Category Transaction Notes Commentary
    Digital
    Media
    Publishers
    ▪ HQ Education acquired HempSession in Mar 2019
    ▪ Hacker Noon acquired CryptoDisrupted in Jun 2019
    ▪ WagerTalk acquired in Aug 2018
    ▪ Small digital media publishers have acquired podcast brands, which contribute
    audience and industry credibility to new parent companies
    ▪ Larger digital media publishers that have pursued podcasting have largely elected
    to build given low start-up costs, but as industry matures may look to acquire talent
    or market share
    Non-Media
    ▪ Robinhood acquired MarketSnacks in Mar 2019 ▪ Consumer fintech company growing media offering for customer engagement,
    including popular daily business podcast
    ▪ BDMI expects audio content will become more common in other products as a
    mechanism of customer acquisition/retention
    Corporate
    Investment
    ▪ Sony Music invested in Neon Hum in Dec 2019 ▪ Transaction terms unknown, but indicates music labels are paying attention to
    podcasts
    ▪ Strategic investment likely to become increasingly common way for corporates to
    get involved, particularly as independent podcast companies reach larger scale
    Other Notable Podcast / Audio Transactions
    Notes:
    (1) Source: CBInsights, press releases, public filings

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  49. 49 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Section VI
    Representative Companies Across the US Podcast Value Chain

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  50. 50 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    Representative Companies Across the US Podcast Value Chain
    L
    i
    s
    t
    e
    n
    e
    r
    C
    r
    e
    a
    t
    o
    r
    Verticalized content or
    specialized UX
    Publishers
    Creator
    Software Monetization Enablement Listening UX
    Advertising Enablement Non-Ad
    Enablement
    Traditional
    Media / Radio
    Podcast-First
    Digital
    Publishers
    Indie
    audiochuck
    Generalist consumer apps
    **
    Notes: includes select companies with estimated substantial portion of business based in US; excludes majority services
    businesses e.g. agencies and production houses; * indicates BDMI portfolio company; ** indicates retired brand
    (Exchanges, Networks, Creative,
    Analytics, Promotion, etc.)
    (Recording,
    Editing,
    DAWs, etc.)
    *
    *
    *
    *
    *
    *

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  51. 51 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    BDMI in Podcasting
    BDMI Portfolio Companies…
    … advertising on podcasts
    … creating podcast content
    “New iHeart-Fatherly Podcast ‘Finding
    Fred’ Celebrates Kid TV Legend Fred
    Rogers,” Inside Radio, October 2019
    “Wondery and The Athletic Launch The
    Lead,” September 2019
    exited
    exited
    exited
    BDMI Podcast / Audio Investments
    Dynamic creative and personalization for digital audio; combines
    known data points about an audience member to automatically create
    and distribute unique, personalized ads. Clients include brands such
    as Nissan, Sky, and Bauer, and audio companies such as Pandora.
    End-to-end technology stack for podcast publishers, providing hosting,
    dynamic ad insertion, audience analytics, and advertising inventory
    (programmatic and direct sold). Delivers hundreds of millions of
    downloads for customers such as NBCU, Marvel, Viacom, Google,
    AMC, and The New York Times.
    Podcast publisher ranked fourth among all publishers by monthly
    audience and responsible for hit shows such as Dirty John, Dr. Death,
    Gladiator, American Scandal, Business Wars, and 8 of the Top 20
    Shows of 2019 (Podtrac).
    Advertising analytics technology helping brands more acutely track
    ROI of podcast advertising investment. Matches listeners to
    purchasing behavior across platform and channel.

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  52. 52 January 2020 · Bertelsmann
    January 2020
    Thank You

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