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Testing Hypotheses of No Meaningful Effect

Testing Hypotheses of No Meaningful Effect

Carlisle Rainey

January 04, 2013

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  1. Social heterogeneity increases the number of parties, but only when

    electoral institutions are sufficiently permissive. “ ” Clark and Golder (2006)
  2. 30%

  3. No American president since FDR has won a second term

    when the unemployment rate topped 7.2 percent... Obama must defy that trend to keep his job. “ ” New York Times June 1, 2011 “ ”
  4. The nation's unemployment status by itself is not going to

    affect Obama's. “ ” Seth Masket June 2, 2011
  5. Only negativity about the respondent’s preferred candidate should have a

    significant demobilizing effect on voter turnout. “ ” Krupnikov (2011)