Climate Adaptation

by Gordon Donaldson

Transcript

1. Climate Adaptation Gordon Donaldson Forest District Manager
2. 10/10/2013 2 Cowal and Trossachs Forest District
3. 10/10/2013 3 Strategic Directions Our aspiration Scotland’s national forest estate is; • Treasured as a multi-purpose resource that sustains livelihoods, improves the environment, and offers enjoyment and involvement. • Healthy, achieving good environmental and silvicultural condition in a changing climate. • Productive sustainably, utilising the potential of the land. • Accessible, so that local woodlands and national treasures are welcoming and open for all. • Cared for, with well looked-after countryside, natural and cultural heritage. • Good value, generating income to minimise the net cost of delivering public benefits.
4. 10/10/2013 4 Treasured as a multi-purpose resource that sustains livelihoods, improves the environment, and offers enjoyment and involvement.
5. 10/10/2013 5 Productive sustainably, utilising the potential of the land.
6. 10/10/2013 6 Accessible •so that local woodlands and national treasures are welcoming and open for all.
7. 10/10/2013 7 Cared For •with well looked-after countryside, natural and cultural heritage.
8. 10/10/2013 8 Good Value generating income to minimise the net cost of delivering public benefits.
9. 10/10/2013 9 Healthy •achieving good environmental and silvicultural condition in a changing climate.
10. Flooding John Hair Planning Manager
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18. Landslips
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29. Planning for an Uncertain Future Steve Murphy Planning Forester
30. 10/10/2013 30 Windblow in Cowal and Trossachs
31. 10/10/2013 31 Windblow in Cowal and Trossachs
32. 10/10/2013 32 Windblow: impact
33. 10/10/2013 33 Windblow: impact
34. 10/10/2013 34 Windblow: species
35. 10/10/2013 35 Windblow: species
36. 10/10/2013 36 Silvicultural Systems
37. 10/10/2013 37 Silvicultural Systems
38. 10/10/2013 38 Good Practice
39. 10/10/2013 39 Good Practice
40. 10/10/2013 40 Good Practice
41. 10/10/2013 41 Ecological Site Classification
42. 10/10/2013 42 Species Suitability
43. 10/10/2013 43 Species Suitability
44. 10/10/2013 44 Garadhban: Temperature
45. 10/10/2013 45 Garadhban: Moisture Deficit
46. 10/10/2013 46 Garadhban: Exposure
47. 10/10/2013 47 Garadhban: Soils
48. 10/10/2013 48 Species Suitability
49. 10/10/2013 49 Species Suitability
50. 10/10/2013 50 Future Climate Accumulated Temperature 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 1990 2050 2080 year degrees AT5 low AT5 hi Moisture Deficit 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1990 2050 2080 year mm MD low MD hi Precipitation - Low scenario 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1990 2050 2080 year mm ppn sum low ppn win low tot low Precipitation - High scenario 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1990 2050 2080 year mm ppn sum hi ppn win hi tot hi
51. 10/10/2013 51 Garadhban: Management Zones
52. 10/10/2013 52 Garadhban: Future Habitats
53. 10/10/2013 53 Species Distribution Species Distribution (% forested area) 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 SS MB BI NS LP JL SP OK HL DF EL MC WH NF CAR BE XB AR AH GF RC MO XC RAN ESF OM LC SY CP GAR HAZ PTA SOK XS XF PO PBI EM SBI WC MCP XW BCH XP JCR species % 2013 2033 2053
54. 10/10/2013 54 Diversity
55. 10/10/2013 55 As Spruce Recedes Into the Mists of Time…