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ランダムフォレストを使って探索的データ分析
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Kan Nishida
January 21, 2018
Business
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ランダムフォレストを使って探索的データ分析
Kan Nishida
January 21, 2018
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Transcript
ϥϯμϜϑΥϨετΛͬͯ ୳ࡧతσʔλੳ
Presenter ా צҰ co-founder/ceo Exploratory ུྺ Exploratory, Inc.ͰCEO݉νʔϑɾϓϩμΫτɾΦ ϑΟαʔΛΊΔ͔ͨΘΒɺຊͰͷσʔλαΠΤϯ εɾϒʔτΩϟϯϓɾτϨʔχϯά
ɺάϩʔόϧͷσʔ λαΠΤϯεɾϒʔελʔɾτϨʔχϯάͳͲͷΛ ௨ͯ͠σʔλαΠΤϯεͷීٴͱڭҭʹऔΓΉɻ @KanAugust
Exploratory Data Analysis with Random Forest
Exploratory Data Analysis with Random Forest
ܾఆ σʔλ αϯϓϧ αϯϓϧ αϯϓϧ ථ ථ ථ ݁ …
ϥϯμϜαϯϓϧ ථׂ͕Εͨ߹ฏۉΛͱΓɺ ֬ͱͯ͠ѻ͏ ϥϯμϜϑΥϨετ
ϥϯμϜϑΥϨετͬͯɺ༧ଌͷͨΊ͡Όͳ͍ͷʁ
Employee Is_Salesrep Is_Male Attrition A TRUE FALSE TRUE B FALSE
TRUE TRUE C TRUE FALSE FALSE D FALSE FALSE FALSE E TRUE TRUE TRUE Z TRUE TRUE ? ͜ͷैۀһࣙΊΔͰ͠ΐ͏͔ʁ ྨ - ܾఆ
Is_Salesrep TRUE FALSE Is_Male TRUE FALSE … TRUE FALSE TRUE
FALSE Z FALSE TRUE ? Employee Is_Salesrep Is_Male Attrition A TRUE FALSE TRUE B FALSE TRUE TRUE C TRUE FALSE TRUE D FALSE FALSE FALSE E FALSE TRUE TRUE ࣙΊΔʁ ࣙΊΔ ࣙΊͳ͍ ࣙΊΔ ྨ - ܾఆ
… TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE X TRUE TRUE ? Employee
Is_Salesrep Is_Male Attrition A TRUE FALSE TRUE B FALSE TRUE TRUE C TRUE FALSE TRUE D FALSE FALSE FALSE E FALSE TRUE TRUE ࣙΊΔ ࣙΊͳ͍ ࣙΊΔ Is_Salesrep Is_Male ࣙΊΔʁ ྨ - ܾఆ
TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE … TRUE FALSE TRUE FALSE X
TRUE TRUE TRUE Employee Is_Salesrep Is_Male Attrition A TRUE FALSE TRUE B FALSE TRUE TRUE C TRUE FALSE TRUE D FALSE FALSE FALSE E FALSE TRUE TRUE ࣙΊΔ ࣙΊͳ͍ ࣙΊΔ Is_Salesrep Is_Male ࣙΊΔʁ ྨ - ܾఆ
ͲͷมΛઌʹධՁ͢Δ͔Ͱ༧ଌ݁Ռ͕ૣ͘ಘΒΕΔ
͜ͷใΛͱʹ มॏཁ(Variable Importance)͕ ಘΒΕΔ
RF Model
มॏཁ
Ͳͷม͕ଞͷมʹൺͯॏཁ͔͔ͬͨ
͔͠͠… ͦͷม͕Ͳ͏Өڹ͍ͯ͠Δͷ͔͕Α͔͘Βͳ͍
Job Level
Monthly Income
ͦ͜Ͱ… edarf - EDA with RandomForest ύοέʔδ
None
Partial Dependency
Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 1 5000 1 3
10000 2 2 4000 1 2 6000 2 3 50000 3 … 1 5000 2 ݩͷσʔλ͔Β
Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 1 5000 1 3
10000 2 2 4000 1 2 6000 2 3 50000 3 αϯϓϧ͢Δ
Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 1 5000 1 1
10000 2 1 4000 1 1 6000 2 1 50000 3 Job Level͕̍ɼ̎ɼ̏ͷ̏ͭͩͱ͢Δͱɺ ͜ͷྻͷ͚ͩΛม͑ɺଞͷྻͦͷ··ͰɺγϛϡϨʔτ͢Δ Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 2 5000 1 2 10000 2 2 4000 1 2 6000 2 2 50000 3 Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 3 5000 1 3 10000 2 3 4000 1 3 6000 2 3 50000 3
Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 1 5000 1 1
10000 2 1 4000 1 1 6000 2 1 50000 3 Job Level͕̍ͷ߹ RF Model Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option Prediction Probability 1 5000 1 0.3 1 10000 2 0.7 1 4000 1 0.2 1 6000 2 0.1 1 50000 3 0.6 0.38 ฏۉ
Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 2 5000 1 2
10000 2 2 4000 1 2 6000 2 2 50000 3 Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option Prediction Probability Predict 2 5000 1 0.2 2 10000 2 0.3 2 4000 1 0.1 2 6000 2 0.1 2 50000 3 0.3 RF Model Job Level͕̎ͷ߹ 0.2 ฏۉ
Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option 3 5000 1 3
10000 2 3 4000 1 3 6000 2 3 50000 3 Job Level Monthly Income Stock Option Prediction Probability 3 5000 1 0.2 3 10000 2 0.3 3 4000 1 0.1 3 6000 2 0.1 3 50000 3 0.3 RF Model Job Level͕̏ͷ߹ 0.2 ฏۉ
ϓϩοτ͢Δ FALSE TRUE
with RStudio
with Exploratory
None
σʔλαΠΤϯεɾϒʔτΩϟϯϓ τϨʔχϯά݄̏։࠵ https://exploratory.io/training-jp
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