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プロスペクトをデータで紹介

kuma127
March 27, 2019

 プロスペクトをデータで紹介

3/27 BaseballPlayStudyのLTスライド

kuma127

March 27, 2019
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  1. 2019/3/27
    ࠓ೥ͷϒϨΠΫ࿮͸ɺདྷ೥ͷޒྠ୅ද͸
    ୭ͩʁࠓ೥ͷϓϩεϖΫτΛσʔλͰ঺հ
    ͘·ͽ
    TwitterIDɿ@kumappp27

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  2. ࣗݾ঺հ
    ✤ ʮ͘·ͽʯͱ͍͍·͢
    ✤ TwitterID:@kumappp27
    ✤ ݹాPM࣌୅͔ΒͷͪͳϠΫ
    ✤ খ઒ହ߂౤ख΍தଜ༔ฏัखͱಉ͍೥ͷΪϦฏ੒ੜ·
    Εʢฏ੒2೥ʣ
    ✤ ࣅ͍ͯΔͱݴΘΕ͍ͯͨळ٢౤ख͕Ҡ੶ͯ͠γϣοΫ

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  3. ຊ೔ͷ͓୊

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  4. ࠓ೥ͷϒϨΠΫ࿮͸ɺདྷ೥ͷޒྠ୅ද͸
    ୭ͩʁࠓ೥ͷϓϩεϖΫτΛσʔλͰ঺հ

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  5. ͓୊ʹ͍ͭͯ
    ✤ ຖ೥ɺ͜ͷ࣌ظ͸͋Δ͋ΔͷҰͭͱͯ͠एखͷ׆༂Ͱ
    ϙδΔɺͱ͍͏΋ͷ͕͋Δͱࢥ͍·͢
    ✤ ͋ͱɺͳΜ΍͔Μ΍ͰଞٿஂͷબखͰ΋ए͍બख͕ϒ
    ϨΠΫ͢Δͷ͸ت͹͍͜͠ͱ…ͳؾ͕͠·͢
    ✤ ͦ͜Ͱɺ͜ͷ৔ΛआΓͯࢲΠνΦγͷएखΛɺσʔλ
    Λ༻͍ͯ঺հ͠Α͏ɺͱ͍͏LTͰ͢

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  6. ঺հ͢Δʹ͋ͨͬͯ
    ✤ جຊతʹࢲͷಠஅͰϐοΫΞοϓ͠·͕ͨ͠ɺҰԠҎԼͷ৚
    ݅ͷݩϐοΫΞοϓ͠·ͨ͠
    1. ࠓ೥Ͱ3೥໨·Ͱʢܦྺ͸໰Θͣʣ
    2. ৽ਓԦࢿ͕֨͋Δ
    3. υϥϑτ1Ґ͡Όͳ͍
    ✤ 1ͱ2͚ͩͩͱ༗໊ॴͷ঺հʹͳͬͪΌ͏ͱࢥ͏ͷͰɺυϥϑ
    τ1Ґ͸আ֎͠·ͨ͠

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  7. Special Thanks
    ✤ ࠓճσʔλΛ͓आΓͨ͠ఏڙݩͷαΠτ༷͸ͪ͜Βɹ
    ʮϓϩ໺ٿσʔλFreakʯ༷
    ✤ ϦϯΫɿhttps://baseball-data.com/
    ✤ 1܉ͷσʔλ͸΋ͪΖΜ2܉ͷσʔλ΋ॆ࣮͍ͯ͠Δૉ
    ੖Β͍͠αΠτͰ͢

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  8. Ͱ͸ͬͦ͘͞1ਓ໨

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  9. ޿ౡ౦༸Χʔϓɾࡔ૔কޗ
    1998೥5݄29೔ੜ·Εʢ20ࡀʣ
    2016೥υϥϑτ4Ґ
    ӈ౤ࠨଧɹัख

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  10. ࡔ૔બख͸͜Μͳਓ
    ✤ ัखͳ͕Βߴ͍ଧܸηϯεɺ
    50m࠷଎6ඵ3Λه࿥͢Δ΄Ͳ
    ͷढ़଍Λซͤ΋ͭ
    ✤ ϧʔΩʔΠϠʔͷ2017೥ʹެ
    ࣜઓͰώοτΛଧ͕ͬͨɺ͜
    Ε͸޿ౡͷߴଔ৽ਓัखͱ͠
    ͯ͸ҥּ঵༤ࢯҎདྷͷҒۀ ʢWikipediaΑΓൈਮʣ

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  11. ͦΜͳࡔ૔બखͷηʔϧεϙΠϯτ͸…

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  12. ัखͰ͋Γͳ͕Β׬੒౓ͷߴ͍ଧܸྗ
    ✤ 2೥ؒͷ2܉੒੷͸ͪ͜Β
    ଧ཰ ຊྥଧ ग़ྥ཰ ௕ଧ཰ OPS
    2017 .298 1 .359 .400 .759
    2018 .329 4 .372 .547 .919

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  13. ผࢦඪ͔Β΋ࡔ૔બखͷੌ͞ΛଌΔ
    ✤ ଧऀͷ߈ܸྗΛଌΔࢦඪͱͯ͠wOBA※ͱ͍͏΋ͷ͕͋ΔͷͰɺͦͪΒΛ༻͍
    ͯࢉग़ͨ͠σʔλ͕ͪ͜Β
    ✤ ͜ͷ਺ࣈ͸ɺߴ͍΄Ͳྑ͘ɺ਺ࣈͷεέʔϧ͕ग़ྥ཰ͱಉ͡Α͏ʹग़དྷ͍ͯΔ
    ※wOBAͱ͸
    1ଧ੮౰ͨΓͷಘ఺૑ग़ྗΛଌΔࢦඪɻ
    ҆ଧ΍࢛ٿͳͲͷग़ྥ݁ՌʹಠࣗͷॏΈ͚ͮΛͯ͠ࢉग़͢Δɻ
    ʢWikipediaΑΓɺࠓճ͸σʔλͷؔ܎্ࣦࡦग़ྥͷه࿥͸ແࢹ͠·͢ʣ
    wOBA
    2017 .336218
    2018 .397907

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  14. …Θ͔ΓͮΒ͍ͷͰྺ୅ͷ໠ऀୡͱൺֱͯ͠Έ·͠ΐ͏
    ࠓΛͱ͖Ί͘൴Βʹ͝ొ৔ئ͍·ͨ͠
    ※൴Β͸օଧ੮਺͕όϥόϥͰ͕͢ɺ
    wOBA͸1ଧ੮͋ͨΓͷࢦඪͳͷͰެฏ͞͸͋Δఔ౓อͯΔ͔ͱ
    ಡചδϟΠΞϯπ
    Ԭຊ࿨ਅ બख
    ޿ౡ౦༸Χʔϓ
    ླ໦੣໵ બख
    ౦ژϠΫϧτεϫϩʔζ
    ࢁా఩ਓ બख

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  15. ൴Βͷߴଔ1,2೥໨ͱൺֱͯ͠ΈΔ
    ※ิ଍ɹླ໦੣໵͸2೥໨ʹ
    1܉Ͱ68ଧ੮Ͱଧ཰.344Λه࿥͍ͯ͠Δ
    બख໊ ೥਺ wOBA
    ࡔ૔
    1೥໨ .336
    2೥໨ .398
    Ԭຊ
    1೥໨ .293
    2೥໨ .360
    ླ໦
    1೥໨ .304
    2೥໨ .323
    ࢁా
    1೥໨ .295
    2೥໨ .335

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  16. ૉ੖Β͍͠੒੷
    ✤ ྺ୅ͷ໠ऀͱൺ΂ͯ΋Ḯ৭ͳ͍ʢϦʔά΋೥౓΋ҧ͏
    ͷͰɺࢀߟఔ౓Ͱ͕͢ʣ
    ✤ ͦΕͲ͜Ζ͔ɺ্ճͬͨ੒੷Λ࢒͍ͯ͠Δ
    ✤ ઌ΄Ͳ΋ड़΂͕ͨɺ͜ΕͰ͍ͯัख͔ͩΒڪΕଟ͍

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  17. ͦΜͳࡔ૔બखʹ΋೰Έࣄ͕
    ✤ ޿ౡͷัख૚͕ް͗͢Δ
    ✤ ࠓ೥͸ग़৔ػձΛٻΊͯ֎໺ʹ΋௅ઓ͍ͯ͠Δ໛༷
    ϕετφΠϯ ܦݧ๛෋ͳϕςϥϯ ༗๬ג

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  18. ࡔ૔બख΁ͷظ଴
    ✤ όοςΟϯάͷ͍͍ัखͱͯ͠ɺΏ͘Ώ͘ͷ೔ຊ୅ද
    ೖΓΛظ଴
    ✤ ઌड़ͷྺ୅ͷ໠ऀ͸օߴଔ4೥໨ʹେϒϨΠΫΛՌͨ
    ͨ͠ͷͰͦͷྲྀΕʹ৐ΔͳΒϒϨΠΫ͸དྷ೥ʁ

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  19. ࣍ʹ2ਓ໨

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  20. ౦ژϠΫϧτεϫϩʔζɾԘݟ ହོ
    1993೥6݄12೔ੜ·Εʢ25ࡀʣ
    2017೥υϥϑτ4Ґ
    ӈ౤ӈଧɹ֎໺ख

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  21. Ԙݟબख͸͜Μͳਓ
    ✤ ग़਎͕෢૬ߴ౳ֶߍͰɺ
    ग़઒ͷޙഐ
    ✤ #ϠόΠΑԘݟ
    ✤ ࡢ೥ͷΞδΞ΢Οϯλʔ
    ϦʔάͰ͸࠷༏लଧऀ৆
    Λड৆

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  22. ͦΜͳԘݟબखͷηʔϧεϙΠϯτ͸…

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  23. ૸ɾ߈ڞʹѹ౗తͳ࣮੷
    ✤ ϧʔΩʔΠϠʔͷࡢ೥ɺ1܉Ͱ͸ଧ཰.040ͱۤ͠Μͩ
    ͕ɺ2܉΍ࠓقͷΦʔϓϯઓͰ͸ѹ౗తͳ੒੷Λه࿥
    ଧ཰ HR ౪ྥ OPS BB/K
    ’18 Πʔελϯ .329 9 22 1.011 0.51
    ’18 ΢Οϯλʔ
    Ϧʔά
    .392 4 5 1.209 1.17
    ’19 Φʔϓϯઓ .385 2 12 1.025 0.44

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  24. ࠓճ΋ྺ୅ͷ໠ऀͱൺֱ
    ✤ ࡢ೥େ׆༂ͨ͠େଔɾࣾձਓग़਎ͷબखͷ1೥໨ͷ2܉੒੷ͱൺ΂ͯΈΔ
    ʢ˞ϝϯπ͕΍ͨΒΰπ͍Ͱ͕͢ɺؾͷ͍ͤʣ
    ࡛ۄ੢෢ϥΠΦϯζ
    ࢁ઒ึߴ બख
    ઍ༿ϩοςϚϦʔϯζ
    Ҫ্੖࠸ બख
    ԣ඿DeNAϕΠελʔζ
    ٶ㟒හ࿠ બख

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  25. ൴Βͷ1೥໨ͷ̎܉੒੷ͱൺ΂ͯΈΔ
    બख໊ wOBA
    Ԙݟ .4294
    ࢁ઒ .4332
    Ҫ্ .4490
    ٶ࡚ .3863

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  26. ࢁ଑ʹ΋Ξδϟίϯάʹ΋ுΓ߹͍ͬͯΔ
    ✤ λΠϓతʹ͸3໊ͱԘݟબखͱͰ͸શવҧ͏ͷ͕ͩɺ
    ͦΜͳ3ਓͷதʹׂͬͯೖΔΑ͏ͳ߈ܸྗΛඋ͍͑ͯ
    Δ
    ✤ #ϠόΠ
    ✤ ͜ͷ3ਓ͸͍ͣΕ΋3ʙ5೥໨ลΓʹϒϨΠΫ͍ͯ͠Δ
    ͷͰɺԘݟબख΋ࠓޙͷϒϨΠΫ͕ظ଴Ͱ͖Δ͔΋͠
    Εͳ͍

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  27. ྫʹΑͬͯԘݟબखʹ΋೰Έࣄ͕
    ✤ ϠΫϧτͷ֎໺ϨΪϡϥʔਞ͕൫ੴ͗͢Δ
    HRه࿥อ࣋ऀ ϝδϟʔؼΓ 3ׂόολʔ
    ✤ ·ͣ͸πʔϓϥτϯى༻͔Βͷελʔτ͔…ʁ
    3ׂόολʔ
    ϑΝʔετ΋कΕΔ

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  28. Ԙݟબख΁ͷظ଴
    ✤ νʔϜঢ়گతʹଈϨΪϡϥʔ͸ݫ͍͕͠ɺߴྸԽ͕ਐ
    ΜͰ͍ΔϠΫϧτ֎໺ਞͷएฦΓͷτοϓʹͳΕΔΑ
    ͏ͳ׆༂Λظ଴
    ✤ ૉ੖Β͍͠߈ܸྗʹΦʔϓϯઓ౪ྥԦͷ࣮ྗΛ׆͔ͤ
    Ε͹ɺ͍ۙ಺ࢁాબखͱͷτϦϓϧεϦʔίϯϏ͕ੜ
    ·ΕΔ…͔΋͠Εͳ͍

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  29. ·ͩ·͍ͩΔͧʂ

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  30. ٽ͖ͷ௥Ճ঺հ
    ✤ ঺հ͔͚ͨͬͨ͠Ͳ࣌ؒͷ౎߹্࡟Β͟ΔΛಘͳ͔ͬ
    ͨબखΛ໊લͱɺηʔϧϙΠϯτΛҰݴड़΂͍͖ͯ·
    ͢

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  31. ࡕਆλΠΨʔεɾ඿஍ਅ੅౤ख
    ✤ ࠷଎150km/hͷ଎ٿʹεϥΠμʔɺ
    ΧʔϒɺνΣϯδΞοϓΛૢΔظ଴
    ͷएख౤ख
    ✤ ηʔϧϙΠϯτ͸ʮ੍ٿྗʯ
    ✤ ࡢ೥2܉Ͱ27ΠχϯάΛ౤࢛͛ٿ͸
    Θ͔ͣʮ3ʯ
    ✤ ͜Ε͸ࡢ೥େϒϨΠΫΛՌͨͨ͠ɺ
    ΦϦοΫεࢁຊ༝৳౤खͷ1೥໨ͷ
    ੒੷ʹඖఢ͢Δ
    1998೥5݄25೔ੜ·Εʢ20ࡀʣ
    2016೥υϥϑτ4Ґ
    ӈ౤ӈଧɹ౤ख

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  32. ઍ༿ϩοςϚϦʔϯζɾӬ໺ক࢘౤ख
    ✤ ࠨ࿹͔Β࠷଎150km/hΛ܁Γग़͢
    ଎ٿ೿ϦϦʔόʔ
    ✤ ηʔϧεϙΠϯτ͸ɺʮୣࡾৼྗʯ
    ✤ 2܉Ͱ22ࢼ߹ʹ౤͛
    ୣࡾৼ཰ɿ12.43
    K/BBɿ7.25
    ɹͷѹרϐονϯάΛ൸࿐
    ✤ ࠓ೥ɺʮ޿৔ڪා঱ʯΛެදɻݸ
    ਓతʹ΋Ԡԉ͍ͨ͠બखɻ
    1993೥3݄2೔ੜ·Εʢ26ࡀʣ
    2017೥υϥϑτ6Ґ
    ࠨ౤ࠨଧɹ౤ख

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  33. Ҏ্Ͱ͢
    ✤ օ͞Μɺࣗ෼ਪ͠ͷएखબख͸͍·ͨ͠Ͱ͠ΐ͏͔ʁ
    ࠓճ͸ڈ೥ͷ2܉੒੷ΛݩʹϐοΫΞοϓͨ͠ͷͰɺ
    ਺ࣈʹݱΕͯͳ͍͚Ͳظ଴Ͱ͖Δएखબख͸·ͩ·ͩ
    ͍Δͱࢥ͍·͢
    ✤ ʮ͜ͷબख͍͍ͧʂʯͬͯબख͕͍Ε͹ͥͻͥͻڭ͑
    ͯ௖͖͍ͨͰ͢ʙ

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  34. ͝੩ௌɺ͋Γ͕ͱ͏͍͟͝·ͨ͠ʂ

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