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ICU 150 Teleconference Support Material

ICU 150 Teleconference Support Material

PRELIMINARY (i.e. METPI rainfall and SST results not updated) support material for the next ICU teleconference (ICU issue 150, MAM 2013)

Nicolas Fauchereau

March 01, 2013
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  1. Island  Climate  Update  150   Forecast  period:   March–  May

     2013   Teleconference  Friday.  1st  of  March  2013     (12:30  PM  NZ  ?me)   1/03/13   1  
  2. 1)  Some  words  on  Rainfall  /  Convec?on  and  SST  anomalies

     last  month   (January  2012)   2)  ENSO  (Pacific  Ocean  –  Atmosphere  system)  situa?on  and  forecast     3)  Other  indicators  (MJO,  SAM  …)     4)  METPI  Rainfall  Forecast     5)  METPI  SST  Forecast     1/03/13   2   Outline    
  3. The  ENSO  Precipita<on  Index  (ESPI)  for  the  last  30  days

     (to  28  Feb.  2013)  is  –0.79   SOI  and  ESPI  INDICES   1/03/13   hXp://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/trmm_rain/ Events/thirty_day.html   9  
  4. Ocean  sub-­‐surface  and  heat  content  anomalies     1/03/13  

    http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/ jsdisplay/ 11   hXp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/heat_tlon.shtml  
  5. 1/03/13   18   FMA$2013$ ! ! ! ! !

    ! ! ! ! ! MAM  2013