Kampala Policy Brief #9 Addressing Data Deficiency in CAADP’s Poverty Reduction Commitment - Mr. Wondwosen Tefera

Mr. Wondwosen Tefera, Senior Associate Scientist, AKADEMIYA2063

Transcript

1. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES ADDRESSING DATA DEFICIENCY IN CAADP’S POVERTY REDUCTION COMMITMENT June 18, 2026 12:00 – 13:30 GMT Online WONDWOSEN TEFERA AKADEMIYA2063
2. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Outline • Introduction • Data reporting performance • Data quality concerns • Summary and implications for Kampala
3. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Introduction • The Malabo BR performance can provide valuable lessons for monitoring poverty reduction target under Kampala CAADP • High quality and accessible data is critical for tracking progress, identifying gaps, and informing decision making • This presentation aims to • Identify key lessons for monitoring poverty reduction target under the Kampala Declaration • Present practical recommendations for strengthening BR data systems
4. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Data reporting performance Continental and regional performance • Approximately 40% of required data was missing at continental level • Central Africa (at 66.2%) vs Western Africa (at 29.0%) • ECCAS had the weakest performance (>50%), while EAC performed better (~15%) • Large regional disparities: uneven institutional and statistical capacity 0 20 40 60 80 EAC ECOWAS UMA CEN-SAD COMESA IGAD SADC ECCAS Western Africa Eastern Africa Northern Africa Southern Africa Central Africa Percent Missing data by subgroups (commitment four, fourth BR)
5. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Data reporting performance Country level performance • Data completeness remains a significant challenge for most countries • 19 countries (~40%) failed to report more than half of required data. • 16 countries (~33%) had <10% missing data rate Missing data by countries (commitment four, fourth BR)
6. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Data reporting performance Indicator level performance • Data deficiencies were uneven across indicators • Indicators requiring multiple parameters faced greater reporting challenges Missing data by indicators (commitment four, fourth BR) 0 10 20 30 40 50 Indicator 4.2 Indicator 4.1v Commitment -4 Indicator 4.3 Indicator 4.4 Indicator 4.1i Indicator 4.1iv Indicator 4.1iii Percent
7. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Data reporting performance Data availability challenges persist in countries with Malabo compliant second generation NAIPs (NAIP-2) Countries with at least 50% data missing rate by NAIP formulation status (commitment four, fourth BR) • Insufficient data undermines tracking of poverty reduction commitments in the NAIP Note: Value in bracket shows the number of commitment four indicators with at least 50 percent missing rate NAIP- 1: First Generation NAIP NAIP-2: Second Generation NAIP
8. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Outliers: data quality concerns Indicator level performance • Even when data is available, its quality may be compromised • Outlier obscure the true picture of agrifood transformation efforts across the continent Boxplot results (commitment four indicators)
9. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Reporting rate and BR performance • A strong inverse relationship between missing data and BR performance scores • A decrease in data reporting rate is likely to decrease the BR scores (Western vs Central Africa) • Note: increased reporting alone does not guarantee a better BR score • Better reporting improves visibility of policy achievements Missing data vs BR score (commitment four, fourth BR) 3.9 3.6 3.3 2.2 0.9 29.0 36.5 39.2 45.7 66.2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 1 2 3 4 5 Western Africa Eastern Africa Northern Africa Southern Africa Central Africa Missing data in % BR Score BR Score Missing data
10. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Summary and implications for Kampala Summary: Data gaps weaken effective MEL of CAADP implementation • Data reporting remains a major challenge limiting the ability to accurately track progress toward poverty reduction targets • Data quality concerns persist which can compromise the reliability and credibility of performance assessments • Data gaps limit visibility of policy achievements
11. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES Summary and implications for Kampala • Establish and operationalize commitment specific data clusters • Build technical capacity of data providers through regular and targeted training • Provide continuous technical backstopping throughout the BR process Implications for Kampala: Strengthening national statistical systems is as critical as strengthening policies and investments to achieve Kampala CAADP targets • Explore innovative solutions to address missing data and outlier challenges
12. Evidence & Policy Dialogue to Facilitate Africa-wide Domestication & Implementation KAMPALA CAADP SERIES THANK YOU