HF(Spectrum(Ac7vity(Predic7on(
Submodel 1
λ
1
= (A
1
,B
1
,π
1
)
Submodel 2
λ
2
= (A
2
,B
2
,π
2
)
Submodel 3
λ
3
= (A
3
,B
3
,π
3
)
P(O
T
|λ
2
) P(O
T
|λ
3
)
P(O
T
|λ
1
)
B’
11
B’
22
B’
33
High-level model
New definition of
the high-level model:
Previous
detected states
High-level model
λ = (A,B’,π)
max(P(OT+1
|λ))
Predicted state
B’
11
0 0
0 B’
22
0
0 0 B’
33
B’ =
O
T
Observations
t (min)
T
T-1
Submodels
t (min)
T-1 T
T-2
... ST
24(