TO HIGH-DIMENSIONAL UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION Rohit Tripathy and Ilias Bilionis Predictive Science Lab http://www.predictivesciencelab.org/ Purdue University West Lafayette, IN, USA 1
- Obtained numerically through the solution of a set of PDEs. - Inputs x – uncertain and high dimensional. - Interested in quantifying the uncertainty in f. Image sources: [1] - Left image. [2] - Right image.. 2
as Linear Principal Component analysis)[1]. • Kernel PCA[2]. (Non-linear model reduction). • Latent variable models ( GPLVM[3], VAE[4] etc.) References: [1]- Ghanem and Spanos. Stochastic finite elements: a spectral approach (2003). [2]-Ma and Zabaras. Kernel principal component analysis for stochastic input model generation. (2011). [3]- Lawrence. Gaussian process latent variable models for visualisation of high dimensional data. (2004). [4]- Kingma and Ba. Auto-encoding variational bayes. (2013). 5
= g(z) = ↵ + T z + zT z | {z } Link Function , z = WT x, x 2 R50 <latexit sha1_base64="xrvF/1tvERvN3/IbB9mHquUcBCE=">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</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="xrvF/1tvERvN3/IbB9mHquUcBCE=">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</latexit> <latexit sha1_base64="xrvF/1tvERvN3/IbB9mHquUcBCE=">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</latexit>
quantity of interest q given the uncertainty in the diffusion coefficient, a? We need a `surrogate’ that maps xi’s to q, i.e., Karhunen Loeve decomposition of diffusion coeff. a: Find: With data**: High dimensional inputs, small sample set. ELLIPTIC PDE 10
of gradients. • Simple reparameterization of the first layer of a DNN – gradient-free recovery. • Useful in a wide variety of applications where model QoIs have shown to possess ridge structure. • Drawback – Reparameterization makes SGD in the Stiefel manifold more challenging. Potential cure – better initialization scheme.